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Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury result (87:94) on 12 Aug 2026 (WNBA): 205 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 61% backing Los Angeles Sparks to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Los Angeles Sparks 87:94 Phoenix Mercury (2026-08-12). Before the result, 61% of 115 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Los Angeles Sparks to win — that call was wrong.
205 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Los Angeles Sparks 70 (61%) · Phoenix Mercury 45 (39%).
Los Angeles Sparks, last 5: L W L W L. Phoenix Mercury, last 5: L L L W L. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Los Angeles Sparks wins – draws – Phoenix Mercury wins): 3-0-2; latest 2026-07-23: Los Angeles Sparks 82:86 Phoenix Mercury.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-08-12 12:13 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
205 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Los Angeles Sparks to win 70 (61%) · Phoenix Mercury to win 45 (39%).
| 2026-08-10 | vs Golden State Valkyries | 78:84 | L |
| 2026-08-07 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 89:82 | W |
| 2026-08-06 | vs Chicago Sky | 88:95 | L |
| 2026-08-03 | vs Portland Fire | 106:101 | W |
| 2026-07-29 | vs New York Liberty | 109:113 | L |
| 2026-08-10 | vs Washington Mystics | 75:95 | L |
| 2026-08-08 | vs Connecticut Sun | 72:75 | L |
| 2026-08-06 | vs Atlanta Dream | 82:96 | L |
| 2026-08-04 | vs Chicago Sky | 106:101 | W |
| 2026-08-02 | vs New York Liberty | 92:94 | L |
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | 82:86 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2026-06-14 | Phoenix Mercury | 102:111 | Los Angeles Sparks |
| 2026-05-22 | Phoenix Mercury | 88:97 | Los Angeles Sparks |
| 2025-09-10 | Phoenix Mercury | 83:88 | Los Angeles Sparks |
| 2025-08-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | 84:92 | Phoenix Mercury |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | lomatic Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 182.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | retarb Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Hard-Ironclad Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | lomatic Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | curie Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | User7429 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | baseinv3 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | imake1mil Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | curie Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | User7429 Polymarket | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | dummyricher Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | pleasegivememoney888 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Stupendous-Spring-Cartilage Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Ru386 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Ru386 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks O/U 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | lomatic Polymarket | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | baseinv3 Polymarket | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | imake1mil Polymarket | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | swisstony Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | paulspidey Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | FastJoesph Kalshi | Under 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | jmoraless Kalshi | Over 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | brealla76 Kalshi | Over 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | fur.bank Kalshi | Under 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | fur.bank Kalshi | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | luckyguess020326 Kalshi | Under 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | inc.puffin9614 Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | shock.dream Kalshi | Under 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | megamejia88. Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | parlay.papi224 Kalshi | PHX +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | jefrsundavis Kalshi | Under 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | mikeymikeymikeymike Kalshi | Under 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | mikeymikeymikeymike Kalshi | Under 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | can.flight Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | vpeakcap Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Feaze Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | xerothermic.cobra4612 Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | yapperyapper Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | nofumbles4damoney Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | feminist.firefly6967 Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | ATIAZI Kalshi | Under 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Sondrr Kalshi | Over 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | jmoraless Kalshi | Under 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | fur.bank Kalshi | Phoenix wins the 4th quarter | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | pokertothissmh Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | purring.myna8067 Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | cooperative.boar1312 Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | MrShark007 Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | joeblow848 Kalshi | Over 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | mikeymikeymikeymike Kalshi | LA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | alexxxinwondrland Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | lulnav24 Kalshi | Under 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | TimMtBetsVet Kalshi | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Nncsva Kalshi | Under 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | mikeymikeymikeymike Kalshi | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | ATIAZI Kalshi | Under 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | electrical.kingfisher4708 Kalshi | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | mass.greyhound Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | lot.bike Kalshi | Under 178.5 | Lost |