Kalshi · Football · Basketball
hot.lava is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 31 picks, 70.7% win rate, $398 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 42 | 42 | 27 | 64.3% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Japan J1 League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Spain Liga ACB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
hot.lava mainly predicts World Cup: 42 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.7% hit rate over 31 orders, P&L $398, ROI 13.4%. In World Cup, 27 of 42 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-15 00:37 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 98:97 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Los Angeles winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx 79:84 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta Dream 113:96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | France vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Kashima Antlers (Kashima) 2:0 Kobe Japan J1 League | Kashima vs Kobe Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Qatar vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) 1:1 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) Intl Friendlies | Lesotho vs Kenya Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-01 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 1:0 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) Intl Friendlies | Austria vs Tunisia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Portland Fire 66:86 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Portland winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | CB San Pablo Burgos 110:105 CB Granada Spain Liga ACB | CB Granada vs CB San Pablo Burgos Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Andorra 0:1 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) Intl Friendlies | Andorra vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Dallas Wings 95:87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Petrojet FC (Petrojet) 1:2 El Gouna FC (El Gouna) Egyptian Premier League | Petrojet vs El Gouna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Ind. del Valle Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Ind. del Valle vs Rosario Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Caracas Fútbol Club (Caracas FC) 1:3 Botafogo FC CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Caracas vs Botafogo Winner | Lost |