Kalshi · Football
newsguessing is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 75.0% win rate, $351 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 25 | 61.0% |
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% |
| Leagues Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
newsguessing mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $351, ROI 45.7%. In World Cup, 25 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-10 11:59 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Memphis 82:96 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Atlanta to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:5 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Washington 9:5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Philadelphia 6:1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | New York Yankees 2:6 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Atlanta 1:5 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Boston 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Toronto 4:5 Texas MLB | Texas vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Washington 5:10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Detroit 0:8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6:9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Los Angeles Angels 5:1 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | San Diego 7:6 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | San Francisco 3:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | France vs Iraq Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |