Polymarket · Football
Ill-Fated-Monopoly is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 92 picks, 75.8% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 44 won, 16 lost, 73.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 17 | 58.6% |
| MLS | 11 | 11 | 8 | 72.7% |
| Korea K League 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Japan J1 League | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Champions League | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
Ill-Fated-Monopoly mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.8% hit rate over 92 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 19.0%. In World Cup, 17 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-15 08:12 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 New York City FC MLS | Inter Miami CF to win | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 Fagiano Okayama Japan J1 League | Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Cerezo Ōsaka 0:0 Yokohama F·Marinos Japan J1 League | Cerezo Ōsaka vs Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Kashima Antlers 2:0 Gamba Ōsaka Japan J1 League | Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Ōsaka O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Incheon United FC 3:0 FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) Korea K League 1 | Incheon United FC vs Pohang Steelers FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 2:1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Dynamo FC (Houston Dynamo) 0:2 Sporting Kansas City MLS | Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Incheon United FC 1:1 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC Korea K League 1 | Incheon United FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Gangwon FC 0:1 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC vs Jeju SK FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire FC 1:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Inter Miami CF to win | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Sporting Kansas City 0:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC MLS | Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Sporting Kansas City 0:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 2:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | LASK Linz 5:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Champions League | LASK Linz to win | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Austin FC 1:2 FC Dallas MLS | Austin FC vs FC Dallas O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 Kyōto Sanga FC Japan J1 League | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyōto Sanga FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) 0:2 Ulsan HD FC Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers FC vs Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 Vissel Kōbe Japan J1 League | Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kōbe O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) 2:1 Olympique Lyonnais Champions League | AC Sparta Praha vs Olympique Lyonnais O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rapids (Colorado Rapids SC) 1:0 Austin FC MLS | Colorado Rapids SC vs Austin FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Kuopion Palloseura (Kuopion PS) 0:2 Sabah Football Club (Sabah FK) Champions League | Kuopion PS vs Sabah FK O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | St. Louis City SC 1:0 Colorado Rapids (Colorado Rapids SC) MLS | St. Louis City SC vs Colorado Rapids SC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Colorado Rapids (Colorado Rapids SC) 1:0 San Diego FC MLS | Colorado Rapids SC vs San Diego FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC 3:1 Seattle Sounders FC MLS | Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Gwangju FC 1:1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | FC Iberia 1999 (SK Iberia 1999) 0:2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava Champions League | SK Iberia 1999 vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle Sounders FC 1:5 Portland Timbers MLS | Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | ETO FC 2:2 Knattspyrnufélagið Víkingur (KF Víkingur) Champions League | ETO FC vs KF Víkingur O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | corners 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Belgium O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |