Polymarket · Football
Arbout is a Nations League pro on Polymarket: 33 picks, 69.7% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 34 won, 25 lost, 57.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 31 | 30 | 15 | 50.0% |
| Premier League | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| Saudi Pro League | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| Intl Friendlies | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| EFL Championship | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Arbout mainly predicts Nations League: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.7% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 45.4%. In Nations League, 15 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-11-16 05:06 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-11-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-11-16 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-11-16 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-11-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-11-15 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Mexico to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Mexico to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Mexico to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Mexico to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 3:0 Andorra Intl Friendlies | Lithuania to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 3:0 Andorra Intl Friendlies | Lithuania to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 3:0 Andorra Intl Friendlies | Lithuania to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 3:0 Andorra Intl Friendlies | Lithuania to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) Nations League | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) Nations League | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) Nations League | Finland to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) Nations League | Finland to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) Nations League | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) Nations League | Finland to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) 1:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Kazakhstan to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) 1:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Kazakhstan to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 0:0 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | Scotland to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 0:0 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | Scotland to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) 1:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Kazakhstan to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 0:0 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | Scotland to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Sheffield United F.C. (Sheffield United FC) 0:1 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) EFL Championship | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:2 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) 6:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | West Ham United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Al Faisaly Saudi Club 1:3 Al Ittihad Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad Saudi Club to win | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Al Fateh SC (Al Fateh Saudi Club) 1:2 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Diraiyah Saudi Club to win | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Al Nassr Saudi Club 2:1 Abha Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr Saudi Club to win | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Al Ittihad Saudi Club 2:1 Al Fayha Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad Saudi Club to win | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0:0 Al Faisaly Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq Saudi Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal Saudi Club) 0:2 AL Suqoor Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal Saudi Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Al Ittihad Saudi Club 2:1 Al Nassr Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr Saudi Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal Saudi Club) 3:0 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal Saudi Club to win | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Al Fateh SC (Al Fateh Saudi Club) 0:0 Al Ittihad Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad Saudi Club to win | Lost |