Polymarket · Football
Arctic-Insolence is a Serie A pro on Polymarket: 33 picks, 78.8% win rate, $526 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 20 | 20 | 10 | 50.0% |
| MLS | 19 | 19 | 15 | 78.9% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 12 | 12 | 9 | 75.0% |
| Japan J1 League | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
Arctic-Insolence mainly predicts Serie A: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.8% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $526, ROI 34.0%. In Serie A, 10 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-19 03:26 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciúma EC) 2:0 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brasileiro Serie B | Criciúma EC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciúma EC) 2:0 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brasileiro Serie B | Criciúma EC to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Nashville SC 1:0 Atlanta United FC MLS | Nashville SC to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goiás EC) 2:0 Ceará SC Brasileiro Serie B | Goiás EC vs Ceará SC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goiás EC) 2:0 Ceará SC Brasileiro Serie B | Goiás EC to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe 0:1 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goiás EC) Brasileiro Serie B | Goiás EC to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe 0:1 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goiás EC) Brasileiro Serie B | Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs Goiás EC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza EC) 2:1 Sport Club do Recife (SC Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Fortaleza EC vs SC Recife O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciúma EC) 1:0 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (São Bernardo FC) Brasileiro Serie B | Criciúma EC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Gamba Ōsaka 1:1 Tokyo Verdy (Tōkyō Verdy) Japan J1 League | Gamba Ōsaka vs Tōkyō Verdy O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 Kawasaki Frontale Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Kobe 5:0 Kashima Antlers Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Esporte Clube Juventude (EC Juventude) 3:0 América FC Brasileiro Serie B | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles FC 1:0 Seattle Sounders FC MLS | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Inter Miami CF 6:4 Philadelphia Union MLS | Inter Miami CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | Torino FC 2:2 Juventus FC Serie A | Juventus FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Inter Miami CF 6:4 Philadelphia Union MLS | Inter Miami CF to win | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | SSC Napoli 1:0 Udinese Calcio Serie A | SSC Napoli to win | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | US Cremonese 1:4 Como 1907 Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Parma Calcio 1913 1:0 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Shimizu S-Pulse 1:2 Gamba Ōsaka Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Tokyo Verdy (Tōkyō Verdy) 0:6 Yokohama F·Marinos Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Fagiano Okayama 2:3 Cerezo Ōsaka Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | LA Galaxy (Los Angeles Galaxy) 1:1 Houston Dynamo FC (Houston Dynamo) MLS | draw | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | LA Galaxy (Los Angeles Galaxy) 1:1 Houston Dynamo FC (Houston Dynamo) MLS | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Portland Timbers 1:3 San Jose Earthquakes MLS | San Jose Earthquakes to win | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Nashville SC 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Nashville SC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-19 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (AA Ponte Preta) 1:4 Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) Brasileiro Serie B | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-19 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (AA Ponte Preta) 1:4 Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) Brasileiro Serie B | AA Ponte Preta vs Londrina EC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 Portland Timbers MLS | Inter Miami CF -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-18 | Nashville SC 3:2 Los Angeles FC MLS | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Nashville SC 3:2 Los Angeles FC MLS | Nashville SC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 Portland Timbers MLS | Inter Miami CF to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | Atalanta BC 0:1 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-17 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 1:1 Hellas Verona FC Serie A | FC Internazionale Milano -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-17 | Juventus FC 0:2 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | draw | Lost |
| 2026-05-17 | Juventus FC 0:2 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-17 | Juventus FC 0:2 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | Juventus FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-17 | Pisa SC 0:3 SSC Napoli Serie A | SSC Napoli to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | AS Roma 2:0 SS Lazio Serie A | AS Roma to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | Genoa CFC 1:2 AC Milan Serie A | AC Milan to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | Como 1907 1:0 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | San Jose Earthquakes 2:3 FC Dallas MLS | FC Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | San Diego FC 3:3 FC Cincinnati MLS | FC Cincinnati to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-17 | Seattle Sounders FC 0:2 LA Galaxy (Los Angeles Galaxy) MLS | Los Angeles Galaxy to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | Philadelphia Union 1:1 Columbus Crew MLS | Columbus Crew to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-16 | FC Mito Holly Hock 0:1 Tokyo Verdy (Tōkyō Verdy) Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-16 | Yokohama F·Marinos 0:1 Kashiwa Reysol Japan J1 League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-14 | CF Montréal 2:2 Portland Timbers MLS | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-14 | FC Cincinnati 3:5 Inter Miami CF MLS | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-14 | Orlando City SC 4:3 Philadelphia Union MLS | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Tōkyō 2:0 Kawasaki Frontale Japan J1 League | FC Tōkyō vs Kawasaki Frontale O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-02 | Pisa SC 1:2 US Lecce Serie A | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-04-28 | Athletic Club MG 0:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari Calcio 3:2 Atalanta BC Serie A | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-27 | Cagliari Calcio 3:2 Atalanta BC Serie A | Cagliari Calcio vs Atalanta BC O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-27 | Cagliari Calcio 3:2 Atalanta BC Serie A | Cagliari Calcio to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-27 | Cagliari Calcio 3:2 Atalanta BC Serie A | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-04-27 | SS Lazio 3:3 Udinese Calcio Serie A | SS Lazio vs Udinese Calcio O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-27 | SS Lazio 3:3 Udinese Calcio Serie A | SS Lazio -1.5 spread | Lost |