Polymarket · Basketball
Insubstantial-Downturn is a WNBA pro on Polymarket: 196 picks, 66.3% win rate, $318 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 46 | 46 | 22 | 47.8% |
| FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
Insubstantial-Downturn mainly predicts WNBA: 46 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.3% hit rate over 196 orders, P&L $318, ROI 11.8%. In WNBA, 22 of 46 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-31 19:06 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Washington Mystics 81:75 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas Wings to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago Sky 94:88 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut Sun to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Las Vegas Aces 104:99 New York Liberty WNBA | Las Vegas Aces to win | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Dallas Wings 81:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Dallas Wings to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Sparks 109:113 New York Liberty WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington Mystics 92:84 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut Sun to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Indiana Fever 123:88 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | New York Liberty 95:94 Chicago Sky WNBA | New York Liberty to win | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 82:86 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Washington Mystics 100:99 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas Aces to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Seattle Storm 102:105 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Seattle Storm to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Toronto Tempo 83:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas Aces to win | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Phoenix Mercury 72:63 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut Sun to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Atlanta Dream 93:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Atlanta Dream to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 108:88 New York Liberty WNBA | New York Liberty to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Phoenix Mercury 83:96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut Sun to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Toronto Tempo 92:111 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta Dream to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Indiana Fever to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Washington Mystics to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York Liberty to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Chicago Sky to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Indiana Fever to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington Mystics to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 102:87 Chicago Sky WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Connecticut Sun 64:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Toronto Tempo to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | New York Liberty to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 75:73 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Estonia to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Washington Mystics 49:62 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) 85:70 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Belgium to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) 65:64 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Montenegro to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Toronto Tempo 76:89 Dallas Wings WNBA | Toronto Tempo to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 79:88 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | France 98:69 Finland men's national football team (Finland) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 87:84 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Lithuania to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Great Britain men's national basketball team (Great Britain) 86:88 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 69:99 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Ukraine to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Atlanta Dream 83:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Atlanta Dream to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Israel men's national football team (Israel) 86:92 Germany FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Las Vegas Aces 98:90 Chicago Sky WNBA | Las Vegas Aces to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | New York Liberty 99:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Netherlands 69:72 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Latvia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 87:76 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 93:62 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) 95:76 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Georgia to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) 83:102 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Italy to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Phoenix Mercury 90:67 Seattle Storm WNBA | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | New York Liberty 93:85 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas Aces to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Golden State Valkyries 77:66 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta Dream to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Indiana Fever 109:111 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Indiana Fever to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Washington Mystics 76:78 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx to win | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Seattle Storm 110:112 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas Wings to win | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Connecticut Sun 92:63 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago Sky to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Connecticut Sun 97:101 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto Tempo to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Indiana Fever 101:108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta Dream to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Connecticut Sun 81:88 Washington Mystics WNBA | Connecticut Sun to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Golden State Valkyries 91:80 Dallas Wings WNBA | Golden State Valkyries to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portland Fire 94:89 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle Storm to win | Lost |