Polymarket · Football
tomas.bm is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 95 picks, 70.4% win rate, $8K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 13 | 72.2% |
| Premier League | 13 | 13 | 8 | 61.5% |
| Serie A | 13 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
tomas.bm mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.4% hit rate over 95 orders, P&L $8K, ROI 16.6%. In World Cup, 13 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-16 16:15 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Real Madrid 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-22 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:0 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) Premier League | Aston Villa FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-22 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 0:2 SS Lazio Serie A | Bologna FC 1909 to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-22 | Como 1907 5:0 Pisa SC Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Won |
| 2026-03-21 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 3:1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley) Premier League | Fulham FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-21 | Parma Calcio 1913 0:2 US Cremonese Serie A | Parma Calcio 1913 to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-20 | AS Roma 3:3 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) UEFA Europa League | draw | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:1 Atalanta BC UEFA Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) UEFA Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-16 | US Cremonese 1:4 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | US Cremonese to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-15 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 1:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-14 | SSC Napoli 2:1 US Lecce Serie A | SSC Napoli to win | Won |
| 2026-03-13 | Torino FC 4:1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Parma Calcio 1913 to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-12 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 1:1 AS Roma UEFA Europa League | Bologna FC 1909 to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-12 | FK Bodø/Glimt 3:0 Sporting CP UEFA Champions League | FK Bodø/Glimt to win | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 1:1 FC Barcelona UEFA Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-09 | AC Milan 1:0 Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) Serie A | FC Internazionale Milano to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1:3 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:4 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-03 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Leeds United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-03 | Real Madrid 0:1 Getafe La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-28 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:3 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-25 | Atalanta BC 4:1 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) UEFA Champions League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-02-25 | Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) 1:2 FK Bodø/Glimt UEFA Champions League | FK Bodø/Glimt to win | Won |
| 2026-02-25 | Juventus FC 3:2 Galatasaray SK UEFA Champions League | Galatasaray SK to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-24 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 4:1 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge KV) UEFA Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2026-02-23 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1:4 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-02-21 | Juventus FC 0:2 Como 1907 Serie A | Juventus FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-20 | US Sassuolo Calcio 3:0 Hellas Verona FC Serie A | US Sassuolo Calcio to win | Won |
| 2026-02-18 | Galatasaray SK 5:2 Juventus FC UEFA Champions League | Juventus FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-16 | RCD Mallorca 1:2 Real Betis Balompié La Liga | Real Betis Balompié to win | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Parma Calcio 1913 2:1 Hellas Verona FC Serie A | Parma Calcio 1913 to win | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Udinese Calcio 1:2 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Udinese Calcio to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:2 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-10 | AS Roma 2:0 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | AS Roma to win | Won |
| 2026-02-09 | Atalanta BC 2:1 US Cremonese Serie A | Atalanta BC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-07 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) 1:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-07 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 2:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Manchester United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-07 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 3:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Leeds United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-02 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 3:0 Burnley F.C. (Burnley) Premier League | Sunderland AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-01 | Elche CF 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |