Kalshi · Football
convinced.mouse5204 is a Leagues Cup pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 72.4% win rate, $13K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 19 won, 41 lost, 31.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leagues Cup | 31 | 31 | 14 | 45.2% |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Conference League | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| NWSL | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Allsvenskan | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
convinced.mouse5204 mainly predicts Leagues Cup: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.4% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $13K, ROI 66.0%. In Leagues Cup, 14 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-15 11:49 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Reign FC 1:0 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Utah Royals FC 3:2 Bay FC NWSL | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | San Diego Wave FC 1:1 Denver Summit FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Denver Summit FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 1:2 Beitar Jerusalem F.C. (Beitar Jerusalem) Conference League | Austria vs Beitar Jerusalem: Beitar Jerusalem To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Chiclana CF 2:5 Sanluqueno Club Friendlies | Chiclana CF vs Sanluqueno Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Dinamo City 4:0 Auda Conference League | DIC -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Dinamo City 4:0 Auda Conference League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Győri ETO FC (ETO Gyor) 1:1 Riga FC Conference League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Győri ETO FC (ETO Gyor) 1:1 Riga FC Conference League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Knattspyrnufélagið Víkingur (Vikingur Reykjavik) 3:2 FC Thun Europa League | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | FC Vaduz 2:2 FC Inter Turku Conference League | VAD -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Cartagena 3:0 Orihuela CF (Orihuela) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | Salt Lake vs Juarez Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | RSL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | RSL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Vancouver Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Vancouver Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Charlotte FC 0:1 CF Pachuca Leagues Cup | Charlotte vs Pachuca Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | FC Cincinnati 1:2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | Cincinnati vs Atlas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Bolivar 1:1 Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Bolivar vs Sao Paulo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | FC Cincinnati 1:2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | FC Cincinnati 1:2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | FC Cincinnati 1:2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | CIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Columbus vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Columbus vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | CLB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Volos 0:2 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Club Friendlies | Volos vs Kalamata Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Tecnico Uni 0:3 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tecnico Uni vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Volos 0:2 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Club Friendlies | Volos vs Kalamata Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Vasteraas SK 1:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Vasteraas vs Djurgarden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | IK Sirius 2:2 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Sirius vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | IK Sirius 2:2 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | IK Sirius 2:2 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Volos 0:2 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Club Friendlies | VOL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Seattle Reign FC 2:2 Angel City FC NWSL | REI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Austin FC 3:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | ATX +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Austin FC 3:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Philadelphia 3:1 Club Necaxa Leagues Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Nashville SC 4:1 San Luis Leagues Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Nashville SC 4:1 San Luis Leagues Cup | Nashville vs San Luis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) 1:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Nautico vs AC Goianiense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) 1:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Olot 0:3 Centre d'Esports Sabadell Futbol Club (Sabadell) Club Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Frosinone Calcio 1:2 SS Lazio Club Friendlies | Frosinone vs Lazio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle 3:0 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Frosinone Calcio 1:2 SS Lazio Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Monterey Bay FC 2:5 New Mexico United USL Championship | Monterey Bay FC vs New Mexico United Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Monterey Bay FC 2:5 New Mexico United USL Championship | MON -1.5 | Lost |