Kalshi · Football
crusty.crab is a CONCACAF Nations League pro on Kalshi: 207 picks, 66.2% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONCACAF Nations League | 21 | 21 | 11 | 52.4% |
| Nations League | 17 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| MLS | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Women's Champions League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Liga Leumit | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
crusty.crab mainly predicts CONCACAF Nations League: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.2% hit rate over 207 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 34.2%. In CONCACAF Nations League, 11 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 11:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 0:3 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle 2:1 Kansas City MLS | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle 2:1 Kansas City MLS | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 0:3 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 0:3 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle 2:1 Kansas City MLS | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle 2:1 Kansas City MLS | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1:4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1:4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Cayman Islands men's national football team (Cayman Islands) 0:3 Puerto Rico men's national basketball team (Puerto Rico) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1:4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Cayman Islands men's national football team (Cayman Islands) 0:3 Puerto Rico men's national basketball team (Puerto Rico) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3:0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3:0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1:2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1:4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3:0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3:0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1:4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cayman Islands men's national football team (Cayman Islands) 0:3 Puerto Rico men's national basketball team (Puerto Rico) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Anguilla 0:3 Antigua and Barbuda CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1:2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1:2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1:2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dominica 1:5 Guyana CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dominica 1:5 Guyana CONCACAF Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dominica 1:5 Guyana CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Virgin Islands, U.S. 0:5 Saint-Martin CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Virgin Islands, British 0:2 Montserrat CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 1:1 Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Ireland 2:2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Germany 2:0 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Israel men's national football team (Israel) 0:0 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Germany 2:0 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Germany 2:0 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Israel men's national football team (Israel) 0:0 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Ireland 2:2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Koege W 5:1 Servette Chenois W Women's Champions League | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Koege W 5:1 Servette Chenois W Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | FK Austria Wien W 1:1 Inter Milano W Women's Champions League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | FK Austria Wien W 1:1 Inter Milano W Women's Champions League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Maccabi Bney Reine 1:2 Hapoel Kfar Shelem Liga Leumit | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Bnei Yehuda 2:1 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat Liga Leumit | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Guinea men's national basketball team (Guinea) 1:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) AFCON | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Guinea men's national basketball team (Guinea) 1:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) AFCON | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 4:1 Syria men's national basketball team (Syria) Intl Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Maldives 0:6 Lebanon men's national basketball team (Lebanon) Intl Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Lost |