Kalshi · Football
iamernesto is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 70.0% win rate, $781 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 49 have settled: 23 won, 26 lost, 46.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 34 | 32 | 18 | 56.3% |
| Men's College Basketball | 12 | 3 | 0 | — |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Serie A | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bundesliga | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
iamernesto mainly predicts NBA: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $781, ROI 36.8%. In NBA, 18 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-02 23:30 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Marist Dartmouth Men's College Basketball | Under 138.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Murray St. 60:41 Tennessee St. Men's College Basketball | Over 165.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Colorado St. Montana St. Men's College Basketball | CSU +10.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Mississippi St. Tennessee Tech Men's College Basketball | MSST -18.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Georgia Southern Ball St. Men's College Basketball | BALL -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Troy UMass Men's College Basketball | TROY -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Miami (FL) Florida Men's College Basketball | FLA -5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | New York Knicks Brooklyn Nets NBA | Over 222.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Winthrop 98:103 Queens University Men's College Basketball | Under 167.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns NBA | Over 227.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Santa Clara Towson Men's College Basketball | Under 148.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | High Point 72:57 Liberty Men's College Basketball | HP +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers 131:125 Toronto Raptors NBA | Over 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers 131:125 Toronto Raptors NBA | LAL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Indiana Pacers 90:98 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Over 230.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Golden State Warriors 124:112 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Under 219.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Villanova 72:74 Notre Dame Men's College Basketball | Over 146.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Villanova 72:74 Notre Dame Men's College Basketball | VILL -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Orlando Magic 97:108 Boston Celtics NBA | Under 222.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Frosinone Calcio 2:0 Torino FC Serie A | Frosinone wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | New Orleans Pelicans 121:99 Atlanta Hawks NBA | ATL +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Georgia Bulldogs 27:8 Florida Gators NCAAF | UGA +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Memphis Grizzlies 136:105 Sacramento Kings NBA | Under 232.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Aston Villa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Utah Jazz 90:112 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | POR -8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | North Dakota St. 31:7 UTEP Miners NCAAF | Team Over 34.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Charlotte Hornets 104:109 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Over 215.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Houston Rockets 119:98 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Over 218.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | San Antonio Spurs 121:111 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | SAS -12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Iowa Hawkeyes 30:0 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | Iowa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Air Force Falcons 35:26 UConn Huskies NCAAF | UConn wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 2:0 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | 10+ total corners | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | 10+ total corners | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 2:1 AC Monza Serie A | Bologna wins | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Schalke 04 (Schalke) 0:2 Leipzig Bundesliga | Leipzig wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Milwaukee Bucks 111:136 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Over 236.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Golden State Warriors 112:95 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | GSW -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Philadelphia 76ers 98:93 New York Knicks NBA | New York wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Denver Broncos 28:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Jonah Coleman: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Brooklyn Nets 94:110 Detroit Pistons NBA | Under 222.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Miami Heat 145:125 Indiana Pacers NBA | Over 235.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Toronto Raptors 114:121 Orlando Magic NBA | TOR +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Minnesota Timberwolves 127:101 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | MIN -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Golden State Warriors 112:95 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Dallas Mavericks 116:111 Houston Rockets NBA | Under 225.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Washington Wizards 95:79 Charlotte Hornets NBA | Under 221.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Portland Trail Blazers 103:124 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | POR -8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | North Texas Mean Green 48:41 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | UNT -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | James Madison Dukes 21:24 Troy NCAAF | Over 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Indiana Pacers 109:114 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | PHI -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Dallas Mavericks 120:96 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Over 228.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Atlanta Hawks 117:129 Miami Heat NBA | ATL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Cleveland Cavaliers 121:111 Washington Wizards NBA | CLE -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | New Orleans Pelicans 91:104 Denver Nuggets NBA | Over 239.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Minnesota Timberwolves 114:119 Golden State Warriors NBA | Over 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Clippers 87:103 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Utah Jazz 111:117 San Antonio Spurs NBA | SAS -12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | AC Milan 2:4 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | Milan wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Toronto Raptors 129:99 Orlando Magic NBA | Over 223.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Detroit Pistons 97:89 Charlotte Hornets NBA | Over 214.5 | Lost |