Kalshi · Football
Public prediction record of pain.dawn on Kalshi: 68 entries, 67.7% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 11 | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| Liga MX | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Brasileirão Série A | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Major League Soccer | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
WLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | Brazil wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Miami FC 2–2 San Diego FC Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7–2 Santander La Liga | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7–2 Santander La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Sociedad 0–3 Atletico La Liga | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2–2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2–2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Necaxa 2–1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) 1–1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileirão Série A | Gremio vs Fluminense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) 1–1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileirão Série A | Gremio vs Fluminense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 1–1 Sao Paulo Brasileirão Série A | Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) 1–1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileirão Série A | Gremio vs Fluminense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Bahia 1–1 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) Brasileirão Série A | Bahia vs Corinthians Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2–2 San Luis Liga MX | Tigres vs San Luis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Orlando 1–0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Orlando vs Nashville Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2–2 San Luis Liga MX | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Montreal 0–1 Miami FC Major League Soccer | Montreal vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1–0 Juarez Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2–2 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) Brasileirão Série A | Santos vs Chapecoense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Sporting CP 2–0 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Bilbao 2–2 SD Eibar (Eibar) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 2–2 AC Milan Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Dusseldorf 2–1 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Club Friendlies | Dusseldorf vs Dortmund Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Tijuana de Caliente 1–0 Leon Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 2–0 Santander Club Friendlies | Osasuna vs Santander Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | AFC Bournemouth 4–1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | VfL Wolfsburg 0–2 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Club Friendlies | Wolfsburg vs Lyon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 3–0 Remo Brasileirão Série A | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 3–0 Remo Brasileirão Série A | Corinthians vs Remo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Miami FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons F.C. (Milton Keynes) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 3–0 Blackburn Rovers F.C. (Blackburn) Club Friendlies | Nottingham vs Blackburn Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1–2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Nova Esports 2–0 Edward Gaming Valorant | EDward Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Jeju SK FC 1–1 Gangwon FC K League 1 | Jeju SK vs Gangwon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | ROSO GC 2–1 Los Chudeles Valorant | Los Chudeles to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | New York Yankees 8–5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 8–3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 2–1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 2–1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) LigaPro | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2–2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Kalmar vs Malmo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |