Kalshi · Football
road.moon is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 77.8% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 38 | 38 | 20 | 52.6% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Korea KBO | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
road.moon mainly predicts MLB: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 77.8% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 39.6%. In MLB, 20 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-19 20:20 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Samsung Lions 8:11 Lotte Giants Korea KBO | Lotte Giants vs Samsung Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:0 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Libertad Loja Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Washington 91:83 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:1 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 0:2 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Cuenca vs Uni Catolica Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Denver Summit FC 2:1 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Portland Thorns Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:1 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Cleveland Guardians 1:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Figueirense Futebol Clube (Figueirense) 0:0 Volta Redonda Futebol Clube (Volta Redonda) Brasileiro Serie C | Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82:104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 0:0 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Washington 104:85 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Washington 104:85 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105:112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Texas Rangers 6:5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Washington 2:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Baltimore 6:1 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Baltimore 6:1 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | San Diego 1:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | San Francisco 8:2 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Washington 92:88 Utah NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Texas 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Cincinnati 0:1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | St. Louis 4:8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | San Diego 10:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Cincinnati 11:5 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Minnesota 6:5 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets 7:3 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | St. Louis 5:1 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5:10 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Baltimore 7:9 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Tampa Bay 3:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Mets 12:16 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Cincinnati 1:4 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Chicago WS 0:5 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |