Kalshi · Football
sarah.palin2028 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 75.0% win rate, $329 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 13 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| USL Cup | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie C | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Uruguay Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
sarah.palin2028 mainly predicts World Cup: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $329, ROI 17.9%. In World Cup, 6 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-16 08:46 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Orlando Pride 0:1 Boston Legacy FC NWSL | Orlando vs Boston Legacy FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Miami FC 2:0 Indy Eleven USL Championship | Miami vs Indy Eleven Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Uni Catolica 1:0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Uni Catolica vs LDU Quito Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Leones 1:1 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Cuenca Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Sutjeska Nikšić (Sutjeska Niksic) 0:2 FC Kairat (Kairat) Champions League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Sutjeska Nikšić (Sutjeska Niksic) 0:2 FC Kairat (Kairat) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | FK Dečić (FK Decic) 1:2 Liepaja Conference League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Bissen 1:2 KÍ Klaksvík (Klaksvik) Champions League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Libertad Loja 1:0 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Tecnico Uni Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Delfin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Figueirense Futebol Clube (Figueirense) 0:0 Volta Redonda Futebol Clube (Volta Redonda) Brasileiro Serie C | Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 0:0 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B | Ceara vs Athletic Club Sjdr Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Associação Olímpica de Itabaiana (Itabaiana) 1:0 Brusque Futebol Clube (Brusque) Brasileiro Serie C | Itabaiana vs Brusque Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 0:0 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Denver Summit FC 2:2 Houston Dash NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) 1:0 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | AC Goianiense vs Fortaleza Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 0:1 Aucas Ecuador LigaPro | Cuenca vs Aucas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) 3:2 Guarani Futebol Clube (Guarani) Brasileiro Serie C | Paysandu vs Guarani Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Avai 2:0 Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) Brasileiro Serie B | Avai vs Nautico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) 2:2 Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) Brasileiro Serie B | Sao Bernardo vs Cuiaba Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Boston River 0:0 Central Español (Central Espanol FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Boston River vs Central Espanol Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) 1:0 Viking FK Eliteserien | Sarpsborg vs Viking Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 0:0 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) 2:1 Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) Brasileiro Serie B | Ferroviario vs Gremio Novorizontino Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | AV Alta FC (Av Alta FC) 2:1 Phoenix Rising FC USL Cup | Av Alta FC vs Phoenix Rising Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | El Paso Locomotive FC 0:2 New Mexico United USL Cup | El Paso Locomotive FC vs New Mexico United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Corpus Christi FC 1:1 One Knoxville SC USL Cup | Corpus Christi FC vs One Knoxville SC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Birmingham Legion FC 3:1 FC Tulsa USL Cup | Birmingham Legion FC vs Tulsa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Greenville Triumph SC 1:2 Richmond USL Cup | Greenville Triumph SC vs Richmond Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Rhode Island FC 1:1 Brooklyn FC USL Cup | Rhode Island FC vs Brooklyn FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1 New York Cosmos USL Cup | Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 2:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Guayaquil City vs Delfin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Oakland Roots SC 1:3 Spokane Velocity (Spokane Velocity FC) USL Cup | Oakland Roots SC vs Spokane Velocity FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Oakland Roots SC 1:3 Spokane Velocity (Spokane Velocity FC) USL Cup | Oakland Roots SC vs Spokane Velocity FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) 0:0 Club Nacional de Football Uruguay Primera Division | Danubio vs Nacional Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 0:0 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 4:3 BK Häcken (BK Hacken) Allsvenskan | Orgryte vs BK Hacken Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Aalesund 2:2 Molde FK Eliteserien | Aalesund vs Molde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Sociedade Esportiva e Recreativa Caxias do Sul (Caxias do Sul) 0:0 Floresta Brasileiro Serie C | Caxias do Sul vs Floresta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 1:2 AIK Allsvenskan | Mjallby vs AIK Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Las Piedras 1:3 Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) Uruguay Primera Division | Las Piedras vs Montevideo City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) 1:1 Chongqing Tongliang Long F.C. (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC) Chinese Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Macara 1:0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs LDU Quito Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) 6:0 Las Piedras Uruguay Primera Division | Danubio vs Las Piedras Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Qingdao Hainiu F.C. (Qingdao Hainiu) 1:1 Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) Chinese Super League | Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 1:2 El Paso Locomotive FC USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |