Kalshi · Basketball
JaronLames is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 61 picks, 62.3% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 38 won, 21 lost, 64.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 40 | 39 | 26 | 66.7% |
| NCAAF | 11 | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Japan NPB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
JaronLames mainly predicts MLB: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.3% hit rate over 61 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 11.5%. In MLB, 26 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 11:40 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | LAD +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | DET -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | PIT -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon Ducks 15:17 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | Under 31.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | MIZZ -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | Missouri wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Atlanta Dream 92:82 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL Ravens 24:18 Tennessee Titans NFL | BAL -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Atlanta Dream 92:82 New York Liberty WNBA | 1H Under 83.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | WAS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 16:20 San Jose St. NCAAF | SJSU -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 16:20 San Jose St. NCAAF | 1H Under 23.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 16:20 San Jose St. NCAAF | SJSU +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | SD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 165.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | CWS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 3:5 Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | WASH -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | ORE -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Under 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Philadelphia 1:12 Tampa Bay MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 2:6 Texas MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | CIN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Detroit 4:3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | F5 Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Atlanta 6:7 Cincinnati MLB | Under 15.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | SD +3.5 | Lost |