Kalshi · Baseball
defeated.baboon2313 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 66.7% win rate, $533 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 31 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 19 won, 12 lost, 61.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| UEFA Conference League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
defeated.baboon2313 mainly predicts MLB: 18 of the last 31 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $533, ROI 20.7%. In MLB, 12 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-22 13:21 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | FC Sion 2–4 AFC Ajax UEFA Conference League | Sion vs Ajax Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 0–3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 2–5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6–5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101–92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | ATL +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75–109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 3–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets 7–3 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | St. Louis 3–4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8–7 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Philadelphia 8–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Boston 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | St. Louis 0–4 Miami MLB | Miami vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Angeles Angels 9–3 Athletics MLB | A's vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |