Kalshi · Baseball
defiant.leopard3967 is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 64.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 25 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% |
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| College Football | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
defiant.leopard3967 mainly predicts WNBA: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 61.5%. In WNBA, 11 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-26 02:50 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Brown Bears 10–14 Harvard Crimson College Football | HARV -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20–33 Miami (FL) College Football | MIA -33.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24–23 Ohio St. College Football | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Florida Gators 52–3 Campbell Fighting Camels College Football | FLA -45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39–31 Oregon Ducks College Football | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | MICH -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Fire 69–86 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 155.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 5–4 Miami Marlins MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Indiana Fever 111–91 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 25+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins 2–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles Sparks 77–68 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Under 167.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Kansas City Royals 5–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Chicago Sky 73–70 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Cubs 5–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92–94 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 168.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84–83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84–83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Chelsea Gray: 4+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington Mystics 81–75 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game: Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8–7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury 91–89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Dallas Wings 81–82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Atlanta Dream 93–91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 177.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2–3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury 83–96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury 83–96 Connecticut Sun WNBA | PHX -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110–107 Seattle Storm WNBA | IND +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Toronto Blue Jays 4–12 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago 99–87 Washington NBA Summer League | WAS -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Golden 85–106 Memphis NBA Summer League | MEM -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98–90 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98–90 Chicago Sky WNBA | LV -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | New York Liberty 99–86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 193.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | New York Liberty 99–86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Over 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Seattle Storm 99–88 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 162.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 3–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 98–97 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 163.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx 79–84 Washington Mystics WNBA | Over 175.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Athletics 7–9 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Las Vegas Aces 92–73 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 158.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Phoenix Mercury 93–73 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 165.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | New York Yankees 1–5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Cincinnati 1–9 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Athletics 6–5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Houston 4–2 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |