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Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries result (91:89) on 30 Jul 2026 (WNBA): 298 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 53% backing Golden State Valkyries to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries (2026-07-30). Before the result, 53% of 188 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Golden State Valkyries to win — that call was wrong.
298 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury 89 (47%) · Golden State Valkyries 99 (53%).
Phoenix Mercury, last 5: W W W L L. Golden State Valkyries, last 5: L L W W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Phoenix Mercury wins – draws – Golden State Valkyries wins): 3-0-2; latest 2026-07-30: Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-07-30 12:31 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
298 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury to win 89 (47%) · Golden State Valkyries to win 99 (53%).
| 2026-07-30 | vs Golden State Valkyries | 91:89 | W |
| 2026-07-23 | vs Los Angeles Sparks | 86:82 | W |
| 2026-07-20 | vs Connecticut Sun | 72:63 | W |
| 2026-07-18 | vs Connecticut Sun | 83:96 | L |
| 2026-07-14 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 100:104 | L |
| 2026-07-30 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 89:91 | L |
| 2026-07-21 | vs Washington Mystics | 82:90 | L |
| 2026-07-19 | vs Washington Mystics | 74:69 | W |
| 2026-07-16 | vs Indiana Fever | 88:75 | W |
| 2026-07-11 | vs Connecticut Sun | 79:64 | W |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury | 91:89 | Golden State Valkyries |
| 2026-06-10 | Golden State Valkyries | 87:81 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2026-05-11 | Golden State Valkyries | 95:79 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury | 81:72 | Golden State Valkyries |
| 2025-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries | 91:98 | Phoenix Mercury |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Ru386 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | User7429 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | curie Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | curie Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | lomatic Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Gaditima Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 155.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | lomatic Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 157.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | takeormake Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 157.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | takeormake Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | manxia Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 157.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 155.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Eager-Polish Polymarket | Golden State Valkyries -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | lenap Kalshi | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Unitdor Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | wonderful.alpaca7343 Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Pettsroommates Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | rafapay2020 Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Unitdor Kalshi | PHX +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | frednico2025 Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Unitdor Kalshi | Under 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | bolt.flight Kalshi | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | cuzneddie Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | yungjakno Kalshi | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | perdedor1 Kalshi | Under 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | zeviot Kalshi | Under 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | dizzychez Kalshi | PHX +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | shift.guard Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | supertrice Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | ippeiarbs Kalshi | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | yungjakno Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | perdedor1 Kalshi | Under 176.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | p3dro.0o Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | jsx123 Kalshi | PHX +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | twentytwoclicks Kalshi | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | original.takin Kalshi | Under 176.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | halfos9 Kalshi | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | zeviot Kalshi | Under 176.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | luck.blk Kalshi | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | nickalas Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | thanhthanh Kalshi | Under 176.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | gleaming.mandrill6684 Kalshi | Under 183.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | precise.woodduck0299 Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | dutch.bass Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | halfos9 Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | parabolas Kalshi | Over 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Who.Dis.Guy.87 Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | zeviot Kalshi | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |