Kalshi · Baseball
estimated.lizard7101 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 65.2% win rate, $413 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 26 won, 33 lost, 44.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% |
| MLB | 23 | 23 | 15 | 65.2% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| KBO | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
estimated.lizard7101 mainly predicts World Cup: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.2% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $413, ROI 19.0%. In World Cup, 10 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-03 06:17 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Houston Astros 2–0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Tampa Bay 4–10 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7–3 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Tampa Bay 6–2 New York Mets MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 10–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2–5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Texas Rangers 2–4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 15–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Boston Red Sox 6–3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 5–1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Colorado Rockies 3–7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Boston Red Sox 6–1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | NC Dinos 3–10 Doosan Bears KBO | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | NC Dinos 3–10 Doosan Bears KBO | Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Cubs 6–2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56–75 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96–87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Athletics 4–9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3–1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Lost |