Kalshi · Baseball
straw.box is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 60.6% win rate, $461 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 15 | 48.4% |
| NCAAF | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| APF Division de Honor | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Chinese Super League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Japan NPB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
straw.box mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.6% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $461, ROI 42.9%. In MLB, 15 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-17 07:59 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Tulane wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Manisa 1:1 Esenler TFF 1. Lig | Manisa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | HNK Hajduk Split (Hajduk) 2:1 AFC Ajax Conference League | Hajduk wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Wanderers 2:1 Albion F.C. (Albion FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 0:1 Olimpia APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 0:1 Olimpia APF Division de Honor | Libertad wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 10:2 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami 3:0 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Utah St. 17:29 Idaho State Bengals NCAAF | Idaho St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Rice Owls 31:3 Houston Christian Huskies NCAAF | Houston Christian wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Vanderbilt Commodores 28:9 Austin Peay Governors NCAAF | Austin Peay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 80:6 Northwestern St. NCAAF | Northwestern St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Charlotte 41:43 The Citadel Bulldogs NCAAF | Charlotte wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: TEN Titans wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Liaoning Tieren F.C. (Liaoning Tieren FC) 4:4 Henan F.C. (Henan FC) Chinese Super League | Liaoning Tieren vs Henan Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port) 2:1 Qingdao Hainiu F.C. (Qingdao Hainiu) Chinese Super League | Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Hainiu Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 1:3 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs Arizona Pro Football game: ARI Cardinals wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Los Angeles F vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Chicago WS 5:10 New York Mets MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 5:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 0:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Houston Astros 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Chunichi Dragons 5:4 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 88:89 Lobos de Puebla Mexico LNBP | Lobos de Puebla vs Diablos Rojos Del Mexico men's Mexico LNBP game: Lobos de Puebla wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:41 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: LA Chargers wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: LV Raiders wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati Reds 9:10 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Nashville SC 4:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Nashville vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Braves 3:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 6:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Tepatitlán F.C. (Tepatitlan) 0:5 Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) Liga de Expansion MX | Tepatitlan vs Club Atletico La Paz Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Trinidense 3:0 San Lorenzo APF Division de Honor | Trinidense vs San Lorenzo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |