Kalshi · Baseball
DutchMoneyCraig is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 63.6% win rate, $574 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 59 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 30 won, 29 lost, 50.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 33 | 33 | 21 | 63.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 23 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
DutchMoneyCraig mainly predicts MLB: 33 of the last 59 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $574, ROI 10.3%. In MLB, 21 of 33 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-06 04:24 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–9 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6–5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 3–2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | New York Mets 0–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 14.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4–6 Houston Astros MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | New York Mets 14–3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Texas 0–3 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Atlanta 5–3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Philadelphia 1–6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | New York Yankees 2–6 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Seattle 6–2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New York Mets 6–2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Team Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 3–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5–1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | New York Mets 6–9 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | San Diego 7–6 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Detroit 3–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | URU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Miami 2–1 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta 4–3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ESP -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | SAS -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Cleveland 8–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-07 | San Diego 3–7 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Chicago WS 7–1 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | San Antonio 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 4: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |