Kalshi · Football
ElCasador is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 75.6% win rate, $377 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 29 won, 30 lost, 49.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Champions League | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| MLS | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Europa League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
ElCasador mainly predicts NBA: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.6% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $377, ROI 43.3%. In NBA, 3 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-15 09:33 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 3:2 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) CONCACAF Nations League | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Netherlands 7:0 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | NED -7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 0:0 Martinique CONCACAF Nations League | Martinique wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-10 | PSG W 1:2 Bayern W Women's Champions League | Bayern wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-09 | Deportivo W 0:2 Valencia W Spanish Liga F | Deportivo wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | C.F. Estrela da Amadora (Estrela Amadora) 2:3 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Liga Portugal | SL Benfica wins | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Kobe 2:2 Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) Japan J1 League | Kobe wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Minnesota 3:1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) 4:3 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Atletico Nacional wins | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:4 Columbus Crew (Columbus) MLS | Chicago Fire wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 3:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Nottingham Forest wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-07 | Jeju SK FC 1:1 Gwangju FC Korea K League 1 | Gwangju wins | Won |
| 2026-11-06 | Bayern W 3:1 Werder W German Women's Bundesliga | Bayern wins | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | Getafe CF 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Conference League | Brighton wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | AC Milan 0:2 Ferencvárosi TC (Ferencvarosi) Europa League | Ferencvarosi wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Los Angeles Clippers 116:117 Miami Heat NBA | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 1:9 Como 1907 Champions League | COM +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1:2 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Club Brugge wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | Viking FK 4:1 Sabah Masazir Champions League | Viking wins | Won |
| 2026-11-04 | Club Alianza Lima 1:0 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Lima wins | Won |
| 2026-11-04 | Pasto 2:0 Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | PAS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-04 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) 1:2 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | MIR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Pereira 1:3 Tolima Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | TOL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Los Angeles Clippers 118:125 Toronto Raptors NBA | TOR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Golden State Warriors 116:113 Phoenix Suns NBA | GSW -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Golden State Warriors 116:113 Phoenix Suns NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Dallas Mavericks 100:115 Sacramento Kings NBA | SAC +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Houston Rockets 109:93 Boston Celtics NBA | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Rivadavia 3:1 Club Atlético Banfield (Banfield) Argentina Primera Division | IRM +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) 2:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Bragantino wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Houston MLS | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Llaneros 3:2 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Llaneros wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 0:1 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Cruzeiro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 2:1 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileiro Serie A | Fluminense wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Manchester City To Advance | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Pisa SC 3:3 Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) Serie B | Pisa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Torino FC 1:3 Como 1907 Serie A | Torino wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Sestao River Club (Sestao) 2:2 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) Copa del Rey | Espanyol To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Real Sociedad 2:1 Levante UD La Liga | RSO -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Cali 0:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Cali wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Club Atlético Belgrano (Belgrano de Cordoba) 0:3 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | FC Cincinnati 0:2 Columbus Crew (Columbus) MLS | Columbus wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | LA Galaxy 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Los Angeles G wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Ulsan HD FC 2:1 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | Deportivo De La Coruna wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) 0:0 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Estudiantes La Plata wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 1:0 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Europa League | Dinamo Zagreb wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:2 Juventus FC Europa League | Juventus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles FC 3:1 Austin FC MLS | Los Angeles F wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |