Kalshi · Football
bear.laugh is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 68 picks, 64.7% win rate, $671 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 49 have settled: 22 won, 27 lost, 44.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 14 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| Nations League | 13 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Women's Champions League | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| Intl Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Japan J2 League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
bear.laugh mainly predicts NBA: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 68 orders, P&L $671, ROI 52.0%. In NBA, 6 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-14 14:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Portland State Vikings 21:23 Southern Utah Thunderbirds NCAAF | Portland St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Los Angeles Clippers 113:112 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Los Angeles C wins | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Shonan Bellmare (Shonan) 2:0 Yokohama Japan J2 League | Yokohama wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Omiya Ardija 2:1 Montedio Japan J2 League | Omiya Ardija wins | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Tahiti 4:0 Cook Islands Intl Friendlies | TAH -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Chicago Bulls 125:117 Atlanta Hawks NBA | CHI -5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Chicago Bulls 125:117 Atlanta Hawks NBA | CHI -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Chicago Bulls 125:117 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 2:3 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:2 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) 2:2 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Nations League | Slovakia wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) Nations League | Estonia wins | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) 0:1 Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) Nations League | AZE -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 2:1 North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) Nations League | Scotland wins | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Andorra 2:0 Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) Nations League | AND -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Bulgaria men's national football team (Bulgaria) 0:5 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | ISL -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) 0:1 Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) Nations League | Azerbaijan wins | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Netherlands 7:0 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | NED -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 2:1 North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) Nations League | SCO -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 0:0 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) Nations League | Switzerland wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:3 Germany Nations League | GER -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) 2:2 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Nations League | SVK -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) Nations League | Luxembourg wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 0:0 Lebanon men's national basketball team (Lebanon) Intl Friendlies | Iraq wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Louisiana-Monroe 21:42 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns NCAAF | ULL -30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | South Florida Bulls 41:52 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | South Florida wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | New York Giants 21:24 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) 1:0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara (Leones Negros) Liga de Expansion MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves 133:94 Dallas Mavericks NBA | Team Over 103.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Washington Wizards 140:144 Detroit Pistons NBA | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Washington Wizards 140:144 Detroit Pistons NBA | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) CONCACAF Nations League | Panama wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Llaneros 0:0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | LLA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Pasto 0:1 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | JUN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Cerro Largo FC 2:2 Progreso Uruguay Primera Division | Cerro Largo wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) 1:0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara (Leones Negros) Liga de Expansion MX | Atletico Morelia wins | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) 2:2 Athletic Club MG Brasileiro Serie B | Sao Bernardo wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 0:2 Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) Brasileiro Serie B | Ferroviario wins | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Benfica Lisbon W 3:1 FK Austria Wien W Women's Champions League | Benfica Lisbon wins | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 2:1 The Gambia men's national football team (Gambia) AFCON | Ivory Coast wins | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 5:0 India men's national football team (India) Intl Friendlies | NZL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Portland Trail Blazers 118:108 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Jrue Holiday: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Portland Trail Blazers 118:108 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Deni Avdija: 30+ points | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Portland Trail Blazers 118:108 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | POR -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Portland Trail Blazers 118:108 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | POR -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Portland Trail Blazers 118:108 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-11-11 | Portland Trail Blazers 123:103 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | POR -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-11 | Portland Trail Blazers 123:103 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-10 | Roma Women 2:1 Servette Chenois W Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-11-10 | Inter Milano W 1:4 Manchester City WFC Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-10 | Crewe Alexandra F.C. (Crewe) 1:2 Wigan Athletic F.C. (Wigan) EFL Trophy | Wigan wins | Won |
| 2026-11-10 | Inter Milano W 1:4 Manchester City WFC Women's Champions League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-11-10 | Inter Milano W 1:4 Manchester City WFC Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-11-10 | PSG W 1:2 Bayern W Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-11-10 | Roma Women 2:1 Servette Chenois W Women's Champions League | ROM -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-10 | Hacken Gothenburg W 0:0 Chelsea W Women's Champions League | Chelsea wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 1:1 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | VfL Bochum 3:2 Karlsruhe Bundesliga 2 | Bochum wins | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Goteborg 0:0 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Malmo wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (Heidenheim) 2:2 Hannover 96 (Hannover) Bundesliga 2 | Heidenheim wins | Lost |