Kalshi · Football
cheddernips is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 81.5% win rate, $253 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 34 have settled: 25 won, 9 lost, 73.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 13 | 86.7% |
| Premier League | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| Serie A | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
cheddernips mainly predicts World Cup: 15 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.5% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $253, ROI 20.5%. In World Cup, 13 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-25 09:58 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2–3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Torino FC 0–2 AS Roma Serie A | Roma wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Como 1907 2–1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Como 1907 2–1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Como wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 4–1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 0–5 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1–1 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) UEFA Champions League | Eindhoven wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0–2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0–0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Millwall F.C. (Millwall FC) 0–1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) EFL Cup | Newcastle To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) UEFA Champions League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 0–2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1–0 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1–0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1–4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1–1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileirão Série B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |