Kalshi · Baseball
knower.ball is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 60.0% win rate, $848 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 28 won, 30 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 25 | 25 | 15 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 16 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% |
| CS2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| League of Legends | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| College Football | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
knower.ball mainly predicts MLB: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $848, ROI 22.8%. In MLB, 15 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-25 21:46 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 58–7 Howard Bison College Football | RUTG +41.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | JD Gaming 3–1 Team WE League of Legends | JD Gaming wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Infinite 0–1 Team Liquid CS2 | Infinite wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Team Liquid 0–1 EYEBALLERS CS2 | EYEBALLERS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Chicago Cubs 8–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | CHC +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Athletics MLB | TB -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Houston Astros 2–5 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Colorado Rockies 3–9 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 6–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Minnesota Twins 1–8 New York Yankees MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | St. Louis Cardinals 3–10 San Francisco Giants MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Tampa Bay Rays 2–1 Athletics MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–4 Miami Marlins MLB | AZ +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Chicago Cubs 3–6 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1–3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Villarreal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Cleveland Guardians 3–7 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0–1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | MCI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 29–19 New Mexico State Aggies College Football | HAW +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | G2 0–3 Legacy CS2 | Legacy wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Levante UD 2–4 FC Barcelona La Liga | Levante wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota Twins 4–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | MIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Toronto Blue Jays 7–3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami Marlins 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Washington Nationals 6–5 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 1–19 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tampa Bay Rays 3–2 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–9 Texas MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0–2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | KT Rolster Challengers 1–3 T1 Academy League of Legends | KT Rolster Challengers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Orlando Magic (magic) 1–2 Legacy CS2 | magic wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Stade Brestois 29 (Stade Brest 29) 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | FaZe 0–2 Alliance CS2 | FaZe wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | DRX Challengers DN SOOPers Challengers League of Legends | DN SOOPers Challengers wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 0–6 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Athletics 6–10 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Francisco Giants 3–6 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | ex-GUARA Yawara Esports CS2 | Map 2: Yawara Esports | Pending |
| 2026-08-01 | Mouz 2–1 Astralis CS2 | Astralis to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | FURIA Esports 0–2 Vivo Keyd Stars League of Legends | FURIA Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 1–13 Detroit Tigers MLB | ATH -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | ROSSMANN Centaurs 1–0 VfB eSports League of Legends | ROSSMANN Centaurs to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Lucas Paqueta: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Luis Suarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Eldor Shomurodov: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Luka Modric: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Darwin Nunez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Firas Al-Buraikan: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Manu Kone: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Ibrahim Bayesh: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Pending |