Kalshi · Baseball
lil.martini is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 75.0% win rate, $332 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 27 won, 28 lost, 49.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 15 | 75.0% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| College Football | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Liga de Primera | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
lil.martini mainly predicts MLB: 20 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $332, ROI 21.3%. In MLB, 15 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 11:19 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2–4 America Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3–4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1–5 Cincinnati MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1–5 Cincinnati MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27–10 Michigan State Spartans College Football | Michigan St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7–4 Milwaukee MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6–5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6–5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Kansas City Royals 4–5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–0 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Houston Astros 2–3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Texas 8–6 Tampa Bay MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4–5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13–12 Western Michigan Broncos College Football | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Howard Bison 31–24 Alabama A&M Bulldogs College Football | Alabama A&M wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Florida State Seminoles 34–17 New Mexico State Aggies College Football | New Mexico St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Green Bay 42–38 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Green Bay Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Coquimbo 1–2 Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Coquimbo 1–2 Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) Liga de Primera | Tie | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Coquimbo 1–2 Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) Liga de Primera | Coquimbo | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0–1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Yankees 7–9 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Atlanta Braves 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Juventude RS 2–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) Brasileirão Série B | Juventude RS vs CR Brasil Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0–1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Valencia vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) 1–1 Boca Juniors Liga Profesional | Racing Avellaneda vs Boca Juniors Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | New York Mets 5–4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons 7–27 Denver Broncos NFL | DEN -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Enner Valencia: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5–1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |