Kalshi · Esports
manwiththeplan is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 73.7% win rate, $645 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 27 | 27 | 15 | 55.6% |
| NFL | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| NBA | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| VCT Champions | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
manwiththeplan mainly predicts MLB: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.7% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $645, ROI 30.8%. In MLB, 15 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-03 11:27 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Memphis Grizzlies 134:135 New Orleans Pelicans NBA | Memphis wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Golden State Valkyries 68:63 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Los Angeles Clippers 87:103 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Over 195.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Los Angeles Clippers 87:103 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Under 197.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Dallas Mavericks 120:96 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Over 232.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | New Orleans Pelicans 91:104 Denver Nuggets NBA | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | G2 Esports 2:1 T1 VCT Champions | G2 Esports wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Los Angeles Lakers 114:110 Sacramento Kings NBA | Under 213.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Nongshim RedForce 1:2 Team Vitality VCT Champions | Nongshim RedForce wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Oklahoma City Thunder 126:128 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU Texans 30:34 DAL Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Indiana Fever 99:89 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Kelsey Mitchell: 25+ points | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | G2 Esports 1:2 Paper Rex VCT Champions | Map 2: Paper Rex | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | G2 Esports 1:2 Paper Rex VCT Champions | Map 1: Paper Rex | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | G2 Esports 1:2 Paper Rex VCT Champions | Paper Rex wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Karmine Corp 1:2 NRG VCT Champions | NRG wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Saquon Barkley: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Over 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Bo Nix: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | J.K. Dobbins: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Tyler Higbee: 1st Touchdown | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco Giants 1:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle 8:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | F5 Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle 8:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Athletics 2:13 Houston MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 5:11 Cleveland MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Under 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kentucky Wildcats 45:21 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | Over 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kentucky Wildcats 45:21 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | Under 70.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Washington 1:7 New York Mets MLB | Washington first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Detroit 4:3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | KT Wiz 1:10 Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO | KT Wiz wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Chicago WS 6:1 Colorado MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees 6:4 Tampa Bay MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 0:1 Cleveland MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Athletics 7:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Philadelphia 6:4 Milwaukee MLB | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Detroit 1:3 Washington MLB | WSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | F5 Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 2:1 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | SF -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Davante Adams: 1st Touchdown | Won |