Kalshi · Football
peak.mouse is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 75.0% win rate, $369 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 14 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Men's College Basketball | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Nations League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
peak.mouse mainly predicts NBA: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $369, ROI 32.5%. In NBA, 6 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-12 03:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | New York Knicks 107:115 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-11 | Leuven W 1:1 Koege W Women's Champions League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-11 | East Texas A&M 76:80 FDU Men's College Basketball | FDU wins | Won |
| 2026-11-11 | Portland Trail Blazers 123:103 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-10 | Philadelphia 76ers 101:123 Boston Celtics NBA | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-11-09 | Sacramento Kings 108:114 Miami Heat NBA | Sacramento wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) 1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) Bundesliga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 1:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | Chicago Bulls 121:127 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | PHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Santa Clara 83:77 Sacramento St. Men's College Basketball | Sacramento St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | Golden State Warriors 126:119 Orlando Magic NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | Memphis 89:88 VCU Men's College Basketball | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | Washington Wizards 105:120 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 3:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | AEK Athens F.C. (AEK Athens) 2:3 Real Madrid Champions League | RMA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | UNLV 89:77 Northern Arizona Men's College Basketball | Northern Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 2:0 VfB Stuttgart Champions League | Galatasaray wins | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 3:2 AS Roma Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Hawai'i 74:73 Seattle Men's College Basketball | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Tegevajaro 3:0 Tochigi City FC Japan J2 League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Kataller Toyama 1:0 Vegalta Japan J2 League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Golden State Warriors 116:113 Phoenix Suns NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Memphis Grizzlies 134:135 New Orleans Pelicans NBA | Memphis wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Orlando Magic 94:103 Washington Wizards NBA | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Santander 2:2 Valencia La Liga | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | New York J wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:0 Guimaraes Liga Portugal | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:0 Guimaraes Liga Portugal | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | AS Monaco FC 2:2 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 3:0 Frosinone Calcio Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Chicago Fire FC 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:0 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:2 Atlético Madrid (Atletico) La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) 1:1 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 1:0 Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:3 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Al Nassr Club 3:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 2:1 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Ligue 1 | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 2:2 Bremen Bundesliga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Oaxaca 2:1 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | New York Knicks 109:111 Washington Wizards NBA | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Cleveland Cavaliers 113:124 Boston Celtics NBA | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 106:117 Denver Nuggets NBA | Utah wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Charlotte Hornets 90:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Brooklyn wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Saint-Martin 6:0 Bahamas men's national basketball team (Bahamas) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Angola men's national basketball team (Angola) 3:1 Malawi men's national football team (Malawi) AFCON | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | ALB +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 0:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 2:1 Niger men's national football team (Niger) Intl Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |