Kalshi · Football
Public prediction record of rough.threat on Kalshi: 16 entries, 62.5% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 24 won, 36 lost, 40.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 37 | 37 | 19 | 51.4% |
| NPB | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Liga Profesional | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| UEFA Nations League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
WLLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5–3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0–1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Saitama Seibu Lions 2–4 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Kansas City Royals 3–2 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Pumas UNAM 2–3 San Luis Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Nationals 6–4 New York Mets MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle 8–4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Milwaukee 3–2 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1–5 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Detroit 4–3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows 5–3 Chunichi Dragons NPB | Chunichi Dragons wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Saitama Seibu Lions 6–2 Chiba Lotte Marines NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2–3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9–12 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Milwaukee 8–4 St. Louis MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 3–2 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Yankees 10–2 Baltimore MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston 2–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 0–1 Cleveland MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1–5 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2–1 Miami MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2–1 St. Louis MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Andorra 1–2 Malta men's national football team (Malta) UEFA Nations League | Andorra wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 3–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6–5 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 3–2 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Kansas City 14–11 Chicago WS MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 1–5 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2–4 Minnesota MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2–8 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Boston 2–3 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Texas 3–6 New York Mets MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Philadelphia 6–4 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2–0 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows 7–9 Hanshin Tigers NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 2–1 Yomiuri Giants NPB | Yomiuri Giants wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5–2 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 2–1 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Liga Profesional | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Central Español (Central Espanol FC) 1–4 Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) Primera División (Uruguay) | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Jonkopings Sodra Skovde Ettan | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Hanshin Tigers 8–1 Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB | Hanshin Tigers wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 1–1 Leon Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–1 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Louis 5–3 Washington MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2–2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5–3 New York Yankees MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1–0 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers 10–4 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 1–2 Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) Liga Profesional | River Plate wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Yomiuri Giants 2–0 Chunichi Dragons NPB | Chunichi Dragons wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 5–2 Fukuoka Hawks NPB | Fukuoka Hawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8–2 San Francisco MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Colorado 4–5 Seattle MLB | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago WS 8–11 Detroit MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 5–6 Milwaukee MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |