Kalshi · Baseball · American football
smokingood is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 66.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 48 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 48 have settled: 24 won, 24 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 16 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% |
| MLB | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| College Football | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| KBO | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
smokingood mainly predicts World Cup: 16 of the last 48 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 71.4%. In World Cup, 6 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 09:09 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Under 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10–24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Stanford Cardinal 34–27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets College Football | Georgia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | West Virginia Mountaineers 24–41 Oklahoma State Cowboys College Football | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52–28 Ole Miss Rebels College Football | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24–22 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game: Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14–26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27–13 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24–23 Ohio St. College Football | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3–4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Washington Commanders 20–7 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30–33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Doosan Bears 8–3 LG Twins KBO | LG Twins vs Doosan Bears winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Kiwoom Heroes 5–3 SSG Landers KBO | SSG Landers vs Kiwoom Heroes winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | New York Mets 2–5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Houston 2–0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Cleveland 6–7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Los Angeles Angels 2–3 Houston MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | SAS +12.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Cleveland 2–3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | SAS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | Kansas City 3–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Kansas City Winner | Won |