Polymarket · Football
elmesias is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 54 picks, 68.5% win rate, $744 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 54 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 37 won, 17 lost, 68.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 18 | 72.0% |
| Liga MX | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| La Liga | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| Serie A | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Major League Soccer | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
elmesias mainly predicts World Cup: 25 of the last 54 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.5% hit rate over 54 orders, P&L $744, ROI 70.6%. In World Cup, 18 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-27 08:12 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3–3 Toluca FC (Deportivo Toluca FC) Liga MX | Deportivo Toluca FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Club Tijuana 2–3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Club América (CF América) 3–0 Atletico de San Luis (Atlético San Luis) Liga MX | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Houston Dynamo FC (Houston Dynamo) 3–0 Austin FC Major League Soccer | Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montréal Major League Soccer | Nashville SC to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Austria to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Alexander Isak: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan to win | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Enner Valencia: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Paraguay O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) 1–0 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Pumas de la UNAM to win | Won |
| 2026-05-18 | Inter Miami CF 2–0 Portland Timbers Major League Soccer | Inter Miami CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-02 | Girona 0–1 RCD Mallorca La Liga | RCD Mallorca to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-04 | RCD Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-04 | Club Necaxa 2–1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Madrid CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-22 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-15 | SSC Napoli 2–1 US Lecce Serie A | SSC Napoli to win | Won |
| 2026-03-08 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 2–1 Elche CF La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-08 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1–2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | CD Guadalajara to win | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | RC Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-03-03 | Udinese Calcio 3–0 ACF Fiorentina Serie A | ACF Fiorentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-03 | Pisa SC 0–1 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | Bologna FC 1909 to win | Won |
| 2026-02-16 | Girona 2–1 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1–0 Club América (CF América) Liga MX | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-02-14 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 2–3 Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) Liga MX | Club Puebla vs Pumas de la UNAM O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-14 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 2–3 Pumas UNAM (Pumas de la UNAM) Liga MX | Pumas de la UNAM to win | Won |
| 2026-02-09 | Juventus FC 2–2 SS Lazio Serie A | Juventus FC vs SS Lazio O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-09 | Valencia CF 0–2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-02-03 | Udinese Calcio 1–0 AS Roma Serie A | draw | Lost |
| 2026-02-02 | Getafe 0–0 RC Celta de Vigo La Liga | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-01 | Atletico de San Luis (Atlético San Luis) 2–3 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | CD Guadalajara to win | Won |