Polymarket · Baseball · Basketball · Esports · Football
Fat-Waistband is a MLB pro on Polymarket: 180 picks, 87.2% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 47 won, 13 lost, 78.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 44 | 44 | 32 | 72.7% |
| Ligue 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| CS2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| United21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| StarLadder StarSeries | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Fat-Waistband mainly predicts MLB: 44 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 87.2% hit rate over 180 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 25.6%. In MLB, 32 of 44 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-14 00:02 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) 2–2 R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) Ligue 1 | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Minnesota Twins 4–7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 9–4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Yankees 1–5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: Tied after 5 innings | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–0 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Cincinnati Reds 6–5 Athletics MLB | Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds O/U 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Morphilina Club 1–2 mokrivskiy Club CS2 | mokrivskiy Club to win | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | GenOne 2–1 JiJieHao CS2 | JiJieHao to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | FaZe Up Next 2–0 Vitality Academy United21 | FaZe Up Next to win | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Walczaki 0–2 Lazer Cats CS2 | Lazer Cats to win | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | largadosypelados 0–2 BESTIA StarLadder StarSeries | BESTIA to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Miami Marlins 8–4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | St. Louis Cardinals 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals O/U 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Washington Nationals 9–5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Athletics 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | First 5 innings · Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Athletics 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | First 5 innings · Milwaukee Brewers -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Kansas City Royals 4–6 Texas Rangers MLB | First 5 innings · Texas Rangers -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Athletics 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics O/U 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Colorado Rockies 3–2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Kansas City Royals 4–6 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals O/U 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Kansas City Royals 4–6 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Chicago White Sox 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta Braves vs Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-03 | Houston Astros 6–10 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros O/U 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 8–3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers O/U 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-01 | Cleveland Guardians 4–9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | Lost |
| 2026-06-01 | Washington Nationals 4–2 San Diego Padres MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals | Lost |
| 2026-05-04 | Olympique Lyonnais 4–2 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Ligue 1 | exact score 4 - 2 | Won |
| 2026-05-04 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1–2 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Toulouse FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | OGC Nice 1–1 R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) Ligue 1 | Allan Saint-Maximin: Anytime Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-04-29 | Minnesota Twins 1–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins O/U 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-29 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–0 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies O/U 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-27 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 4–1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | CF Cruz Azul vs Club Necaxa O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-27 | Kansas City Royals 11–9 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals | Won |
| 2026-04-25 | Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 AJ Auxerre Ligue 1 | Corentin Tolisso: Anytime Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-04-25 | Fire Flux Esports 2–0 NAVI Junior CS2 | Fire Flux Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-04-25 | Cincinnati Reds 9–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds O/U 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-25 | San Francisco Giants 4–9 Miami Marlins MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | Fire Flux Esports 0–2 ReThink CS2 | ReThink to win | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | Washington Nationals 2–7 Atlanta Braves MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals | Won |
| 2026-04-23 | New York Mets 3–2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets | Won |
| 2026-04-23 | Kansas City Royals 6–8 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals | Won |
| 2026-04-20 | Miami Marlins 5–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins O/U 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-20 | Pittsburgh Pirates 6–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-20 | Pittsburgh Pirates 6–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Prestige 1–2 Imperial Academy CS2 | Prestige to win | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 5–0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | CD Guadalajara vs Club Puebla O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Washington Nationals 6–7 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals O/U 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 7–8 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Won |
| 2026-04-17 | New York Yankees 4–11 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Won |
| 2026-04-16 | Philadelphia Phillies 2–11 Chicago Cubs MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Won |
| 2026-04-16 | St. Louis Cardinals 5–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–1 New York Mets MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | St. Louis Cardinals 6–5 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals O/U 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Athletics 2–1 Texas Rangers MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Houston Astros 7–6 Colorado Rockies MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Atlanta Braves 6–5 Miami Marlins MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | Won |
| 2026-04-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 New York Mets MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Won |
| 2026-04-14 | St. Louis Cardinals 3–9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Won |