Polymarket · Football
Light-Familiarity is a Fifa Friendly pro on Polymarket: 62 picks, 66.1% win rate, $22K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa Friendly | 19 | 19 | 13 | 68.4% |
| Bundesliga | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| Brasileirão Série A | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| UEFA Europa League | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Premier League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Eredivisie | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
Light-Familiarity mainly predicts Fifa Friendly: 19 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.1% hit rate over 62 orders, P&L $22K, ROI 32.2%. In Fifa Friendly, 13 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-29 17:31 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | Brazil -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Clube do Remo 0–1 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) Brasileirão Série A | CR Flamengo to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2–1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FC Augsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (SC Corinthians Paulista) 0–0 Club Athletico Paranaense (CA Paranaense) Brasileirão Série A | CA Paranaense to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 FC Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League | MH Maccabi Tel Aviv to win | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | FC St. Gallen 2–1 S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) UEFA Europa League | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Beşiktaş J.K. (Beşiktaş JK) 1–0 FC Midtjylland UEFA Europa League | Beşiktaş JK to win | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0–4 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) Brasileirão Série A | CR Flamengo to win | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Coritiba F.C. (Coritiba FBC) 1–3 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (SE Palmeiras) Brasileirão Série A | SE Palmeiras to win | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Club Athletico Paranaense (CA Paranaense) 1–0 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileirão Série A | CA Paranaense to win | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–0 Russia men's national football team (Russia) Fifa Friendly | Russia to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Bundesliga | FC Bayern München -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-01 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 3–1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley) Premier League | Leeds United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-01 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 2–1 SC Freiburg UEFA Europa League | SC Braga vs SC Freiburg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-18 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1–1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-17 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 1–0 FC Porto UEFA Europa League | FC Porto to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-16 | RC Celta de Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg UEFA Europa League | RC Celta de Vigo -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-13 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (SC Corinthians Paulista) 0–0 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (SE Palmeiras) Brasileirão Série A | SE Palmeiras to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-13 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro EC) 2–1 Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A | Red Bull Bragantino to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-13 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | SC Freiburg to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 1–1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-12 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 1–2 Esporte Clube Bahia (EC Bahia) Brasileirão Série A | EC Bahia to win | Won |
| 2026-04-12 | Clube do Remo 1–1 CR Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A | CR Vasco da Gama to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-11 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0–5 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-11 | VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt to win | Won |
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1–2 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-11 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 4–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) Premier League | West Ham United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 1–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Europa League | Aston Villa FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | FC Volendam 0–0 Feyenoord Rotterdam Eredivisie | Feyenoord Rotterdam to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | São Paulo FC 4–1 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro EC) Brasileirão Série A | São Paulo FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Excelsior Rotterdam (SBV Excelsior) 0–2 N.E.C. (NEC) Eredivisie | NEC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | SC Freiburg 2–3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-04-03 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2–0 Clube do Remo Brasileirão Série A | Santos FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-03 | OL Lyonnes W 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg W UEFA Women's Champions League | OL Lyonnes -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-02 | Chelsea FC W 1–0 Arsenal WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | FC Bayern München W 2–1 Manchester United WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Manchester United WFC to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-01 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Fifa Friendly | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-04-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Fifa Friendly | Belgium to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-01 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 2–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Fifa Friendly | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-03-31 | San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) 0–0 Andorra Fifa Friendly | Andorra to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-31 | Singapore 1–0 Bangladesh men's national football team (Bangladesh) Fifa Friendly | Singapore to win | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 3–2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Fifa Friendly | Cyprus -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Germany 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) Fifa Friendly | Germany -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 0–0 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Fifa Friendly | Spain -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–3 France Fifa Friendly | France to win | Won |
| 2026-03-29 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 0–2 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) Fifa Friendly | Georgia to win | Won |
| 2026-03-29 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Fifa Friendly | Portugal to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Fifa Friendly | Belgium to win | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) Fifa Friendly | Japan to win | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 0–4 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) Fifa Friendly | Korea Republic to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) Fifa Friendly | Tunisia to win | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 3–4 Germany Fifa Friendly | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-03-27 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1–1 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Fifa Friendly | Morocco to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-08 | 1. FC Union Berlin 1–4 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-08 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-08 | PSV Eindhoven (PSV) 2–1 AZ Alkmaar (AZ) Eredivisie | PSV to win | Won |