Polymarket · Football · Basketball
Arienwen.btw is a Nations League pro on Polymarket: 201 picks, 66.8% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 30 | 30 | 15 | 50.0% |
| EuroLeague | 24 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
Arienwen.btw mainly predicts Nations League: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Ranked #8 of 251 profitable pros in MLS by 30-day accuracy. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.8% hit rate over 201 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 19.7%. In Nations League, 15 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-11-15 01:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:2 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Georgia vs Hungary O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-15 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:2 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Georgia vs Hungary O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-15 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:2 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Georgia vs Hungary O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Bulgaria men's national football team (Bulgaria) 0:5 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Bulgaria vs Iceland O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Bulgaria men's national football team (Bulgaria) 0:5 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Bulgaria vs Iceland O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Bulgaria men's national football team (Bulgaria) 0:5 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Bulgaria vs Iceland O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Bulgaria men's national football team (Bulgaria) 0:5 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Bulgaria vs Iceland O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 91:95 Besiktas EuroLeague | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Besiktas | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 2:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Nations League | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Valencia 102:87 FC Bayern Munchen EuroLeague | Valencia vs FC Bayern Munchen O/U 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Olimpia Milano 83:86 Zalgiris Kaunas EuroLeague | Olimpia Milano vs. Zalgiris Kaunas | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Valencia 102:87 FC Bayern Munchen EuroLeague | Valencia vs FC Bayern Munchen O/U 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Olimpia Milano 83:86 Zalgiris Kaunas EuroLeague | Olimpia Milano vs. Zalgiris Kaunas | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | England vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Valencia 102:87 FC Bayern Munchen EuroLeague | Valencia vs FC Bayern Munchen O/U 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Valencia 102:87 FC Bayern Munchen EuroLeague | Valencia vs FC Bayern Munchen O/U 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Valencia 102:87 FC Bayern Munchen EuroLeague | Valencia vs FC Bayern Munchen O/U 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Olimpia Milano 83:86 Zalgiris Kaunas EuroLeague | Olimpia Milano vs. Zalgiris Kaunas | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Olimpia Milano 83:86 Zalgiris Kaunas EuroLeague | Olimpia Milano to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) 1:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Türkiye vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) 1:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Türkiye vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 1:1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Nations League | Armenia vs Cyprus O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 1:1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Nations League | Armenia vs Cyprus O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 1:1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Nations League | Armenia vs Cyprus O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 1:1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Nations League | Armenia vs Cyprus O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) 1:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Türkiye vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) 1:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Türkiye vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) 1:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Türkiye vs Belgium O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) 2:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC vs Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) 2:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC vs Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) 2:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC vs Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) 2:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC vs Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) 2:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC vs Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina EC) 2:1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC vs Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Paris Basketball 111:109 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) EuroLeague | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | Won |