Kalshi · Basketball · Football
BonelessArdvark94 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 69 picks, 62.3% win rate, $252 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 24 | 24 | 18 | 75.0% |
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| League of Legends | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Valorant | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Dota 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
BonelessArdvark94 mainly predicts World Cup: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.3% hit rate over 69 orders, P&L $252, ROI 16.4%. In World Cup, 18 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-21 02:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13–4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Senshi Esports ZennIT League of Legends | Senshi Esports Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Docta Esports 2–1 ZEN Esports League of Legends | ZEN Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Minnesota Twins 4–2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3–1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | NRG 1–3 100 Thieves Valorant | NRG to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Cincinnati Reds 4–8 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Nemiga Gaming 0–3 RE.Arise Dota 2 | Nemiga Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Yandex 2–0 1win Dota 2 | 1win to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Hanwha Life Esports 3–2 Bilibili Gaming League of Legends | Bilibili Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | BBL Esports 0–2 Nongshim RedForce Valorant | BBL Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sparta Rotterdam (SPARTA) Atreides CS2 | Atreides to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Denver Summit FC 2–2 Houston Dash NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 8–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Contra 3–2 Fuego Valorant | Fuego to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Detroit Tigers 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Zeu5 Esports 2–1 Kits Esports League of Legends | Kits Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Cincinnati Reds 3–5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco Giants 4–2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx 90–85 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | FaZe PARIVISION CS2 | FaZe to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3–2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Diego 3–5 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 4–2 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Sparks 102–87 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Utah Royals FC 1–3 Gotham FC (Gotham) NWSL | Utah Royals vs Gotham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Docta Esports 2–0 Malvinas Gaming League of Legends | Malvinas Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85–91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Sacramento Republic FC 2–1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Connecticut Sun 80–86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | ZEN Esports 1–2 Volticons League of Legends | ZEN Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | T1 1–3 G2 Esports League of Legends | G2 Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 3–0 Team Secret Whales League of Legends | LYON to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | RED Canids 1–2 la Masia Valorant | la Masia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) Golden State Blue NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |