Kalshi · Baseball
HopingGambler is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 73.7% win rate, $896 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 39 | 39 | 18 | 46.2% |
| WNBA | 18 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| LEC | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Eredivisie | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
HopingGambler mainly predicts MLB: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.7% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $896, ROI 20.5%. In MLB, 18 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-29 12:30 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Angels 3:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Seattle Mariners 9:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | G2 Esports 1:2 GIANTX LEC | G2 Esports wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 4:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | GA Eagles 3:1 Den Haag Eredivisie | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Washington Mystics 93:82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 169.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Washington Mystics 93:82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Washington Mystics 93:82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Sky 93:86 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Seattle Storm 80:82 Chicago Sky WNBA | 1H Under 76.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91:95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91:95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Connecticut Sun 75:82 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Connecticut women's Pro Basketball game: Connecticut wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Storm 82:84 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Storm 82:84 Portland Fire WNBA | 1H Under 83.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Angels 7:0 Texas Rangers MLB | LAA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Angels 7:0 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Liberty 85:81 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 161.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Liberty 85:81 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 158.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Liberty 85:81 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs New York women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Connecticut Sun 69:104 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Connecticut Sun 69:104 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Connecticut Sun 69:104 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Golden State Valkyries 91:71 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 151.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Portland Fire 81:85 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | San Francisco Giants 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 13:1 Athletics MLB | Over 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 13:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 0:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 0:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Cleveland Guardians 2:6 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | New York Yankees 2:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Boston Red Sox 14:2 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Colorado Rockies 9:13 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Texas Rangers 1:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | SF -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Texas Rangers 1:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | LAA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1:2 New York Yankees MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |