Kalshi · Football
bankroll.lijah is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 51 picks, 62.8% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 22 won, 38 lost, 36.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% |
| Japan NPB | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Mexico LMB | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Korea KBO | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Allsvenskan | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
bankroll.lijah mainly predicts MLB: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.8% hit rate over 51 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 41.2%. In MLB, 9 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-20 11:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Boston be the Arizona vs Boston first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Pittsburgh be the Detroit vs Pittsburgh first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 8:7 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 5:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:1 FC Dallas Leagues Cup | Guadalajara vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Orix Buffaloes 1:3 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | TOH +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 4:0 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | LG Twins 5:3 Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO | Kiwoom Heroes vs LG Twins winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 0:2 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0:3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0:3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Tigres de Quintana Roo 0:1 Pericos de Puebla Mexico LMB | Pericos de Puebla vs Tigres de Quintana Roo winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Algodoneros de Union Laguna 9:4 Sultanes de Monterrey Mexico LMB | Sultanes de Monterrey vs Algodoneros de Union Laguna winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Doosan Bears 7:0 Samsung Lions Korea KBO | Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Hanwha Eagles 11:15 LG Twins Korea KBO | LG Twins vs Hanwha Eagles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Doosan Bears 1:4 Samsung Lions Korea KBO | Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Saitama Seibu Lions 8:6 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Orix Buffaloes 5:3 Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 4:3 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 4:3 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | HOK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Guerreros de Oaxaca 6:7 Tigres de Quintana Roo Mexico LMB | Tigres de Quintana Roo vs Guerreros de Oaxaca winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | El Aguila de Veracruz 1:5 Piratas de Campeche Mexico LMB | Piratas de Campeche vs El Aguila de Veracruz winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Guerreros de Oaxaca 6:7 Tigres de Quintana Roo Mexico LMB | Tigres de Quintana Roo vs Guerreros de Oaxaca winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | DET -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Knattspyrnufélagið Víkingur (Vikingur Reykjavik) 2:1 Be`er Sheva Champions League | Vikingur Reykjavik vs Be`er Sheva Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 2:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 0:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Orgryte vs Djurgarden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Kalmar vs Malmo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 0:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111:84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93:94 Toronto NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | DET -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105:112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Orlando to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Hanshin Tigers 2:1 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin Tigers winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | St. Louis 4:1 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |