Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball · Football
beardeduber is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 67.5% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 58 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 34 won, 24 lost, 58.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 36 | 36 | 21 | 58.3% |
| MLB | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| College Football | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Overwatch | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Brasileirão Série C | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
beardeduber mainly predicts World Cup: 36 of the last 58 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.5% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 29.5%. In World Cup, 21 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-05 11:45 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 24–10 Oklahoma State Cowboys College Football | Oklahoma St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41–13 Wisconsin Badgers College Football | Wisconsin to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3–2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Crazy Raccoon 4–1 ZANSIDE GAMING Overwatch | Crazy Raccoon to win | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Texas 8–3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 0–3 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Detroit 6–1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Miami 2–0 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay 3–0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Minnesota Lynx 89–90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Washington Mystics 49–62 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Anapolis 0–2 Botafogo PB Brasileirão Série C | Anapolis vs Botafogo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Connecticut Sun 83–86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Connecticut Sun 83–86 Dallas Wings WNBA | DAL -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Golden State Valkyries 78–75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 152.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Golden State Valkyries 78–75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 155.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Golden State Valkyries 78–75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 149.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | SuperBad 3–2 Poker Face Overwatch | SuperBad to win | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3–0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3–0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6–0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Qatar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Fifa Friendly | Argentina vs Iceland Winner | Won |