Kalshi · Baseball · Esports · Football
blackmonkey is a UEFA Nations League pro on Kalshi: 172 picks, 71.1% win rate, $441 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 21 won, 39 lost, 35.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | 17 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% |
| Africa Cup of Nations | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Fifa Friendly | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Major League Soccer | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Brasileirão Série B | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Categoría Primera A | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
blackmonkey mainly predicts UEFA Nations League: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.1% hit rate over 172 orders, P&L $441, ROI 36.9%. In UEFA Nations League, 7 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 04:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | France 1–1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) UEFA Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3–0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileirão Série B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1–2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileirão Série B | Athletic Club Sjdr wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Athletic Club Sjdr 1–2 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileirão Série B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Manchester City WFC 1–1 Real Madrid W UEFA Women's Champions League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Ireland 2–2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2–4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2–1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 1–1 Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) UEFA Nations League | Malta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2–1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Madagascar men's national football team (Madagascar) 1–1 Tanzania men's national football team (Tanzania) Africa Cup of Nations | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Burundi men's national football team (Burundi) 2–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) Africa Cup of Nations | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Burundi men's national football team (Burundi) 2–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) Africa Cup of Nations | Algeria wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Comoros men's national football team (Comoros) 1–0 Namibia Africa Cup of Nations | Comoros wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | Brazil wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Botswana men's national football team (Botswana) 2–2 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) Africa Cup of Nations | Tunisia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 0–0 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) UEFA Nations League | Cyprus wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0–0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) UEFA Nations League | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Bay FC 1–3 Orlando Pride NWSL | Bay FC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 3–3 D.C. United (D.C. United SC) Major League Soccer | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 3–3 D.C. United (D.C. United SC) Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | LA Galaxy 3–2 Colorado Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 1–0 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Santos Laguna wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1–0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Fifa Friendly | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Sint Maarten 0–1 Belize CONCACAF Nations League | Belize wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Portland Thorns FC 1–1 Houston Dash NWSL | Portland Thorns wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 2–0 Ind. Medellin Categoría Primera A | Junior wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Fifa Friendly | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Antonio FC 0–0 Tampa Bay USL Championship | San Antonio wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Austin FC 3–3 San Diego FC Major League Soccer | Austin wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Charlotte FC 0–1 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–0 Chile Fifa Friendly | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Saint-Martin 0–2 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Saint-Martin wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Saint-Martin 0–2 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | USA 4–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Croatia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Volendam 3–2 Venlo Eerste Divisie | Venlo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Volendam 3–2 Venlo Eerste Divisie | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City Current 4–1 Denver Summit FC NWSL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Once Caldas 1–3 Bucaramanga Categoría Primera A | Once Caldas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Once Caldas 1–3 Bucaramanga Categoría Primera A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 0–0 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) Brasileirão Série B | Gremio Novorizontino wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) 3–0 Pasto Categoría Primera A | Pasto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 2–0 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileirão Série B | Vila Nova wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Sudan men's national football team (Sudan) 1–0 Ethiopia men's national football team (Ethiopia) Africa Cup of Nations | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Tanzania men's national football team (Tanzania) 0–2 Guinea Bissau Africa Cup of Nations | Over 2.5 | Lost |