Kalshi · Football · Basketball
bread.bet is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 69.2% win rate, $902 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 26 won, 29 lost, 47.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 19 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% |
| Fifa Friendly | 18 | 18 | 10 | 55.6% |
| FIFA Women's World Cup | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
bread.bet mainly predicts World Cup: 19 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.2% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $902, ROI 50.6%. In World Cup, 5 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-06-19 10:40 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Philadelphia 8:2 Miami MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Francisco 6:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Qatar vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Seattle Storm 72:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Costa Rica Fifa Friendly | England vs Costa Rica Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) Fifa Friendly | Brazil vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:0 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) Fifa Friendly | England vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | USA 1:2 Germany Fifa Friendly | USA vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Fifa Friendly | Romania vs Wales Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Minnesota Lynx 88:68 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Spain women's national association football team (Spain W) 4:0 England women's national football team (England W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Spain vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Germany women's national football team (Germany W) 2:0 Norway women's national football team (Norway W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Germany vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) 2:1 Finland men's national football team (Finland) Fifa Friendly | Hungary vs Finland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Denmark women's national football team (Denmark W) 2:1 Sweden women's national football team at the Olympic Games (Sweden W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Denmark vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Denmark women's national football team (Denmark W) 2:1 Sweden women's national football team at the Olympic Games (Sweden W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Denmark vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Kosovo women's national football team (Kosovo W) 0:1 Croatia women's national football team (Croatia W) UEFA Women’s World Cup Qualification | Kosovo vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Turkiye W 2:1 Northern Ireland women’s national football team (Northern Ireland W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Turkiye vs Northern Ireland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) 2:1 Finland men's national football team (Finland) Fifa Friendly | Hungary vs Finland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) 2:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Fifa Friendly | Slovakia vs Montenegro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Armenia women's national football team (Armenia W) 1:1 Kazakhstan women's national football team (Kazakhstan W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Armenia vs Kazakhstan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Azerbaijan women's national football team (Azerbaijan W) 1:2 Hungary women's national football team (Hungary W) FIFA Women's World Cup | Azerbaijan vs Hungary Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | France 1:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) Fifa Friendly | France vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1:1 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) Fifa Friendly | Spain vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2:2 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Fifa Friendly | Sweden vs Greece Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 1:1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Fifa Friendly | Slovenia vs Cyprus Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 1:1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Fifa Friendly | Slovenia vs Cyprus Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 2:2 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Fifa Friendly | Poland vs Nigeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Fifa Friendly | Luxembourg vs Italy Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 0:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) Fifa Friendly | Denmark vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) 4:0 Virgin Islands, British Fifa Friendly | Gibraltar vs Virgin Islands, British Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 1:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) Fifa Friendly | Wales vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | Paderborn vs Wolfsburg Winner | Won |