Kalshi · Football
capable.turtle8942 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 65 picks, 63.8% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 36 | 36 | 25 | 69.4% |
| La Liga | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| Major League Soccer | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| UEFA Nations League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fifa Friendly | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
capable.turtle8942 mainly predicts World Cup: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.8% hit rate over 65 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 20.8%. In World Cup, 25 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-06 09:54 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Fifa Friendly | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Turkiye 0:1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid 4:1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire FC 1:1 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) UEFA Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid 2:1 Inter Milan (Inter) UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Karim Adeyemi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Valencia 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Barcelona vs Vallecano Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Fermin Lopez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Barcelona vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Nashville SC 4:1 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | Nashville vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Salt Lake Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Dayot Upamecano start for France | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Nicolas Otamendi start for Argentina | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Giuliano Simeone start for Argentina | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Rodrigo De Paul start for Argentina | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Nicolas Tagliafico start for Argentina | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lautaro Martinez start for Argentina | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Belgium wins 4-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Tyler Adams: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Rayan: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Ypiranga 1:0 Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) Brasileirão Série C | Ypiranga vs Paysandu Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Alexis Mac Allister: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Rafael Leao: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |