Kalshi · Baseball
carlos.idk78 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 65.5% win rate, $201 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 20 | 64.5% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
carlos.idk78 mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.5% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $201, ROI 29.4%. In MLB, 20 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 03:04 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Final score Norway wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Indiana Fever 99:89 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USA 4:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia 2:3 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 1:2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Angels 0:3 Minnesota MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Angels 0:3 Minnesota MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Tampa Bay 6:2 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Indiana Fever 111:91 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | America 2:0 Columbus Crew (Columbus) Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Yankees 7:9 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Tomares Cadiz Mirandilla Club Friendlies | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | Under 16.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 7:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Houston Astros 7:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Newell's Old Boys 2:2 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 3:2 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Queretaro vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rockies 12:6 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92:94 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Athletics 1:13 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Angels 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:6 Chicago WS MLB | CWS -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | New York Mets 2:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | San Diego Padres 1:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Oaxaca 0:2 Dorados de Sinaloa (Dorados) Liga de Expansion MX | Oaxaca vs Dorados Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Sky 94:88 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Connecticut wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Diego Padres 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Montreal 0:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Montreal vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC 3:1 Seattle MLS | Austin vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Chicago Fire wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Inter Miami CF wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Colorado Rockies 8:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Won |