Kalshi · Football
crowded.alligator8450 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 30 picks, 86.7% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 48 | 48 | 35 | 72.9% |
| UEFA Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Liga Profesional | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Süper Lig | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
crowded.alligator8450 mainly predicts World Cup: 48 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 86.7% hit rate over 30 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 20.8%. In World Cup, 35 of 48 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-25 10:07 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 2–2 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Liga Profesional | Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2–2 Viking FK UEFA Champions League | Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2–2 Viking FK UEFA Champions League | Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2–2 Viking FK UEFA Champions League | Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 2–2 Corum Süper Lig | Galatasaray vs Corum Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | LA Galaxy 0–0 FC Dallas Major League Soccer | Los Angeles G vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Plzen 1–1 Brno Czech First League | Plzen vs Brno Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | San Luis 0–0 Tijuana de Caliente Liga MX | San Luis vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cerro Porteño (Cerro Porteno) 1–2 Trinidense APF División de Honor | Cerro Porteno vs Trinidense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Uni Catolica Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) LigaPro | Uni Catolica vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 0–0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Orgryte vs Djurgarden Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 1–0 Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) LigaPro | Guayaquil City vs Manta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3–1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |