Kalshi · Basketball · Baseball
doesntmatter is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 68.4% win rate, $244 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 33 won, 25 lost, 56.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 50 | 50 | 27 | 54.0% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NPB | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| KBO | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
doesntmatter mainly predicts MLB: 50 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $244, ROI 24.1%. In MLB, 27 of 50 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-11 03:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | St. Louis Cardinals 5–6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5–8 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Minnesota Twins 9–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1–3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | St. Louis Cardinals 7–4 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | St. Louis Cardinals 6–8 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Texas Rangers 5–1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | San Francisco Giants 0–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 8–2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 7–0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago WS 6–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Chicago WS 2–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30–33 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Fukuoka Hawks 2–6 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters NPB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Orix Buffaloes 1–3 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 5–10 Hanshin Tigers NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Sky 95–88 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Kansas City Royals 2–1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Athletics MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Cleveland Guardians 5–6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Samsung Lions Hanwha Eagles KBO | SAM +1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-08-05 | KIA Tigers KT Wiz KBO | KT Wiz vs Kia Tigers winner | Pending |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92–81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS +15.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Boston Red Sox 14–2 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Seattle Mariners 0–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Colorado Rockies 7–9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Texas Rangers 5–4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Atlanta Dream 87–109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | ATL +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7–3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101–106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |