Kalshi · Football
excess.carp0898 is a Liga MX pro on Kalshi: 50 picks, 74.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 40 won, 20 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 23 | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 13 | 81.3% |
| Leagues Cup | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
excess.carp0898 mainly predicts Liga MX: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 74.0% hit rate over 50 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 28.6%. In Liga MX, 12 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 09:25 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 3:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Club Necaxa 0:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Puebla wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Boca Juniors 3:1 Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Boca Juniors wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Tijuana de Caliente 0:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Pumas UNAM 3:1 Leon Liga MX | Pumas UNAM wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 Leon Liga MX | Atlante vs Leon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Pumas UNAM 0:0 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Atlas vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Atlas vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Al-Nasr 2:2 Kalba FC (Ittihad Kalba) UAE Pro League | Al-Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Charlotte FC 2:0 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | Charlotte vs Atlas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Atlante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Salt Lake Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Baltimore Orioles 3:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 1:0 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Avellaneda Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 1:0 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Avellaneda Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Defensor 2:1 C.A. Cerro (Cerro) Uruguay Primera Division | Defensor vs Cerro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1:1 Venados FC (Venados) Liga de Expansion MX | Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | AC Monza 1:3 Aris Thessaloniki Club Friendlies | Monza vs Aris Thessaloniki Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Parma Calcio 1913 1:1 S.S. Arezzo (SS Arezzo) Club Friendlies | Parma Calcio vs Arezzo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 America Liga MX | Atlante vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Tijuana de Caliente 1:0 Leon Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Chicago Cubs 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Chicago Cubs 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | San Luis vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Racing Club de Montevideo 1:1 Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) Uruguay Primera Division | Racing Club vs Penarol Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |