Kalshi · Basketball · Football
fear.jaw is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 47 picks, 75.7% win rate, $296 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 26 | 26 | 12 | 46.2% |
| WNBA | 15 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| LNBP | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Africa | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| FIBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
fear.jaw mainly predicts MLB: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.7% hit rate over 47 orders, P&L $296, ROI 11.8%. In MLB, 12 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 11:33 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5–4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Portland Fire 91–94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5–4 Minnesota MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Chicago Sky 80–110 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Kansas City Royals 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Boston Red Sox 1–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Detroit Tigers 2–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Detroit Tigers 2–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | America 2–2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | America To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6–8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Fire 69–86 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 5–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees 16–1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 85–70 Israel men's national football team (Israel) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Israel wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Guinea men's national basketball team (Guinea) 90–67 Cameroon men's national basketball team (Cameroon) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Africa | Guinea wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 94–96 Germany FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Germany wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Athletics 3–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101–69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees 9–2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 72–66 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIBA | Ivory Coast wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Bosnia & Herzegovina 78–76 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Italy wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Bosnia & Herzegovina 78–76 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Bosnia & Herzegovina wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) 82–76 Greece men's national football team (Greece) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Ukraine wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 54–62 Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Asia | Philippines wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury 73–80 Washington Mystics WNBA | Phoenix wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 66–86 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIBA | Panama wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Liberty 60–79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) 77–83 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Africa | Ivory Coast wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) 85–67 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Hungary wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 81–86 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Europe | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 57–83 China men's national basketball team (China) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Asia | Qatar wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) 62–78 Cameroon men's national basketball team (Cameroon) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Africa | Cameroon wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Seattle Storm 90–78 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 6–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins 4–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | San Francisco Giants 9–10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Golden State Valkyries 91–71 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Freseros de Irapuato 83–86 Correcaminos UAT Victoria LNBP | Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Freseros de Irapuato men's Mexico LNBP game: Freseros de Irapuato wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks 87–94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks 87–94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Las Vegas Aces 86–76 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 94–95 Fuerza Regia LNBP | Fuerza Regia vs Diablos Rojos Del Mexico men's Mexico LNBP game: Diablos Rojos Del Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Dorados de Chihuahua 89–81 Gambusinos de Fresnillo (Gambusinos De Fresnillo) LNBP | Gambusinos De Fresnillo vs Dorados de Chihuahua men's Mexico LNBP game: Dorados de Chihuahua wins | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | El Calor de Cancun 67–78 Mineros de Zacatecas LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas vs El Calor de Cancun men's Mexico LNBP game: Mineros de Zacatecas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97–88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 1–4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1–3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103–90 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Mystics 95–75 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game: Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Liberty 111–71 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs New York women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Lost |