Kalshi · Football · Basketball
heavy.marmot8455 is a Fifa Friendly pro on Kalshi: 61 picks, 95.1% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 43 won, 17 lost, 71.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa Friendly | 11 | 11 | 9 | 81.8% |
| Liga 1 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| LaLiga 2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| J1 League | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Allsvenskan | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Primera División (Uruguay) | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
heavy.marmot8455 mainly predicts Fifa Friendly: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 95.1% hit rate over 61 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 10.4%. In Fifa Friendly, 9 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | EC Pinheiros SP 94–92 Franca Basquetebol Clube (Franca BC) Brazil NBB Basketball | Franca BC vs EC Pinheiros SP Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | France 1–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) Fifa Friendly | France vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | France 1–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) Fifa Friendly | France vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–1 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) Fifa Friendly | Spain vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Bamberg Baskets (Brose Bamberg) 81–73 Alba Berlin Basketball Bundesliga | Alba Berlin vs Brose Bamberg Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Reyer Venezia Mestre (Reyer Venezia) 89–85 Virtus Bologna Basketball Series A | Virtus Bologna vs Reyer Venezia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) 1–1 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) Fifa Friendly | Lesotho vs Kenya Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva B.C. (Hapoel Beer Sheva) 83–108 Maccabi Tel-Aviv Israel Super League | Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) 0–1 Central Español (Central Espanol FC) Primera División (Uruguay) | Penarol vs Central Espanol Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-01 | Zhejiang Lions 101–93 Shanghai Sharks CBA | Shanghai Sharks vs Zhejiang Lions Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Dep Maldonado Club Nacional de Football Primera División (Uruguay) | Dep Maldonado vs Nacional Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Cienciano 3–2 Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) Liga 1 | Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) 2–3 Everton de Viña del Mar Liga de Primera | O´Higgins vs Everton Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) 2–3 Everton de Viña del Mar Liga de Primera | O´Higgins vs Everton Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Los Chankas CYC 0–1 FC Cajamarca Liga 1 | Los Chankas CYC vs Cajamarca Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 2–4 Ind. del Valle LigaPro | Guayaquil City vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Los Chankas CYC 0–1 FC Cajamarca Liga 1 | Los Chankas CYC vs Cajamarca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Leganes 1–0 CD Mirandés (Mirandes) LaLiga 2 | Leganes vs Mirandes Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Palmeiras 1–0 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) Brasileirão Série A | Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Leganes 1–0 CD Mirandés (Mirandes) LaLiga 2 | Leganes vs Mirandes Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Fifa Friendly | USA vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | FC Cajamarca 1–1 Club Alianza Lima Liga 1 | FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | FC Cajamarca 1–1 Club Alianza Lima Liga 1 | FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Chicago Stars FC 0–2 San Diego Wave FC NWSL | Chicago vs San Diego Wave FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Chicago Stars FC 0–2 San Diego Wave FC NWSL | Chicago vs San Diego Wave FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Sporting Jax 2–2 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Sporting Jax vs Brooklyn FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Burgos CF 1–0 Andorra LaLiga 2 | Burgos vs Andorra Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 0–0 Aucas LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Aucas Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Castellon 2–1 SD Eibar (Eibar) LaLiga 2 | Castellon vs Eibar Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) UD Las Palmas LaLiga 2 | Deportivo De La Coruna vs Las Palmas Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Castellon 2–1 SD Eibar (Eibar) LaLiga 2 | Castellon vs Eibar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Melgar 3–1 Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) Liga 1 | Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Melgar 3–1 Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) Liga 1 | Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Hapoel Tel Aviv (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) 74–82 Maccabi Rishon LeZion Israel Super League | Maccabi Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 3–0 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Fifa Friendly | Cape Verde vs Serbia Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 0–2 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Fifa Friendly | Poland vs Ukraine Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) 3–1 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileirão Série A | Bragantino vs Internacional Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Albion F.C. (Albion FC) 1–2 Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) Primera División (Uruguay) | Albion vs Montevideo City Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 2–1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Fifa Friendly | Czechia vs Kosovo Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Degerfors IF 2–2 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 3–2 Hammarby Fotboll (Hammarby IF) Allsvenskan | BK Hacken vs Hammarby Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Wuhan Three Towns F.C. (Wuhan Three Towns FC) 1–1 Yunnan Yukun F.C. (Yunnan Yukun) Chinese Super League | Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Yunnan Yukun Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Vasteraas SK 4–5 Goteborg Allsvenskan | Vasteraas vs Goteborg Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 3–2 Hammarby Fotboll (Hammarby IF) Allsvenskan | BK Hacken vs Hammarby Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Zhejiang Lions 77–110 Shanghai Sharks CBA | Shanghai Sharks vs Zhejiang Lions Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Singapore 4–0 Mongolia men's national football team (Mongolia) Fifa Friendly | Singapore vs Mongolia Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Fifa Friendly | Japan vs Iceland Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger F.C. (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger) 1–0 Dalian Yingbo F.C. (Dalian Yingbo FC) Chinese Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Dalian Yingbo FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Fifa Friendly | Japan vs Iceland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) J1 League | Fagiano O vs Urawa Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Shimizu S-Pulse (Shimizu) 1–1 Marinos J1 League | Shimizu vs Marinos Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Shimizu S-Pulse (Shimizu) 1–1 Marinos J1 League | Shimizu vs Marinos Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Ceuta 1–0 Albacete Balompié (Albacete) LaLiga 2 | Ceuta vs Albacete Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Molde FK 2–1 Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) Eliteserien | Molde vs Sandefjord Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | GAIS 3–0 Kalmar Allsvenskan | GAIS vs Kalmar Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | AIK 0–3 IK Sirius Allsvenskan | AIK vs Sirius Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | V-Varen Nagasaki (V-Varen) 1–0 Mito HollyHock (Mito Hollyhock) J1 League | V-Varen vs Mito H Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Avispa Fukuoka (Avispa) 2–2 United Chiba J1 League | Avispa vs United Chiba Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Gamba Osaka (Gamba) 1–1 Tokyo Verdy J1 League | Gamba vs Tokyo V Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Avispa Fukuoka (Avispa) 2–2 United Chiba J1 League | Avispa vs United Chiba Winner | Lost |