Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
hopefully.lucky is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 68.8% win rate, $201 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 42 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 42 have settled: 24 won, 18 lost, 57.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Japan NPB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
hopefully.lucky mainly predicts MLB: 15 of the last 42 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $201, ROI 73.0%. In MLB, 9 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-23 07:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati Bengals 27:9 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago vs Cincinnati Pro Football game: CHI Bears wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Chunichi Dragons 0:11 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Seahawks 7:17 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92:94 New York Liberty WNBA | NY -15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84:83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Texas 7:3 Houston MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Tampa Bay 6:1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Miami 1:4 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Minnesota 6:9 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Phoenix Mercury 102:111 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Portland Fire 84:83 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Portland winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Las Vegas Aces 100:97 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Connecticut Sun 75:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Los Angeles Angels 8:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Athletics 7:5 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Francisco 1:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Kansas City 0:4 Houston MLB | Houston vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Milwaukee 8:9 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Boston 6:3 Texas MLB | Texas vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Cleveland 3:1 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Seattle Storm 72:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Seattle Storm 72:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 156.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Washington Mystics 86:85 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |