Kalshi · Football
marvellous.llama3974 is a Fifa Friendly pro on Kalshi: 626 picks, 68.9% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa Friendly | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| UEFA Nations League | 11 | 11 | 9 | 81.8% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| Categoría Primera A | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| USL Championship | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Liga de Expansión MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
marvellous.llama3974 mainly predicts Fifa Friendly: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.9% hit rate over 626 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 14.7%. In Fifa Friendly, 12 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 11:07 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 1–0 San Antonio FC USL Championship | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CD Recoleta 1–1 Club Libertad (Libertad) APF División de Honor | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) 1–1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expansión MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Belize 0–2 French Guiana CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3–0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Belize 0–2 French Guiana CONCACAF Nations League | French Guiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1–0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileirão Série A | Atletico Mineiro wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tolima 0–0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Categoría Primera A | Tolima wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tolima 0–0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Categoría Primera A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) UEFA Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2–0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Moron 2–1 Club Atletico All Boys (All Boys) Primera Nacional | Moron wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Defensa y Justicia 3–0 San Lorenzo de Almagro Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Club Atlético Temperley (Temperley) 2–1 Jujuy Primera Nacional | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2–1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) UEFA Nations League | Finland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2–1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) UEFA Nations League | Albania wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Enkopings SK 1–0 Gefle Ettan | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Parma Calcio W 1–2 Ternana Serie A Femminile | Parma Calcio wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) 1–2 Venados FC (Venados) Liga de Expansión MX | Venados wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Vanuatu men's national football team (Vanuatu) 0–1 Fiji men's national football team (Fiji) Fifa Friendly | Fiji wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Fifa Friendly | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Martinique 2–1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Honduras wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3–3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0–0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Helmond 2–2 Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–0 Turkiye UEFA Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1–1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) UEFA Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Lunds 0–1 Laholm Ettan | Lunds wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1–2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) UEFA Nations League | Montenegro wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Mauritius 0–0 Sri Lanka Fifa Friendly | Mauritius wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1–2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) UEFA Nations League | Moldova wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0–0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | China men's national football team (China PR) 0–5 Palestine men's national football team (Palestine) Fifa Friendly | Palestine wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 0–2 Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) Fifa Friendly | Congo DR wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0–0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Korea Republic wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | America 0–0 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Club Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 0–3 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 3–0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileirão Série B | Gremio Novorizontino wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1–4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Haiti wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Maldives 0–6 Lebanon men's national basketball team (Lebanon) Fifa Friendly | LBN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 4–1 Syria men's national basketball team (Syria) Fifa Friendly | Uzbekistan wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 0–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Fifa Friendly | Japan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Sacramento Republic FC 3–2 Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) USL Championship | Sacramento Republic wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Ottawa 3–2 Cavalry FC Canadian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4–0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Fifa Friendly | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lyon W 0–0 Chelsea W UEFA Women's Champions League | Lyon wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Eastleigh 1–1 Southend National League | Southend wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Paris FC W 2–2 Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 3–0 Andorra Fifa Friendly | Lithuania wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Seychelles 0–2 Sri Lanka Fifa Friendly | Sri Lanka wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Fiji men's national football team (Fiji) 2–1 New Caledonia Fifa Friendly | New Caledonia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Belize 0–1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines CONCACAF Nations League | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | USA 4–2 Chile Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Pereira 1–2 Independ. Santa Fe Categoría Primera A | Independ. Santa Fe wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) 2–1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) UEFA Nations League | Slovakia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) UEFA Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 2–4 The Gambia men's national football team (Gambia) Africa Cup of Nations | Ghana wins | Lost |