Kalshi · Baseball
mushy.nightingale4120 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 64 picks, 62.1% win rate, $483 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 47 | 47 | 30 | 63.8% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| CS2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Circuito Desafiante | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| CFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| ASEAN Championship | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
mushy.nightingale4120 mainly predicts MLB: 47 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.1% hit rate over 64 orders, P&L $483, ROI 21.9%. In MLB, 30 of 47 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-26 12:28 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 2:1 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas Circuito Desafiante | KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Boston Red Sox 9:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Houston Astros 1:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Chicago WS MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Kansas City Royals 9:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Colorado Rockies 5:11 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Reds 1:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | NIP 1:2 Astralis CS2 | Astralis to win | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta Braves 3:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Chicago Cubs 4:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers 33:21 Ottawa Redblacks CFL | Under 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Atlanta Braves 0:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Washington Nationals 7:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Miami Marlins 1:13 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Las Vegas Aces 83:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | FaZe 2:0 Legacy CS2 | FaZe to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago WS 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago WS 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Indiana Fever 106:92 New York Liberty WNBA | IND +15.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Mystics 95:75 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100:93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 192.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Texas Rangers 5:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 7:0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98:87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Napheesa Collier: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Thailand 2:0 Myanmar men's national football team (Myanmar) ASEAN Championship | THA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | QPR 1:1 Millwall F.C. (Millwall FC) EFL Cup | QPR vs Millwall Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | San Francisco Giants 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Chicago WS 2:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 186.5 | Won |